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Furman Paladins play at Belmont Bruins in college basketball on Saturday, November 14, at Curb Event Center Arena. As of 7:41 PM ET, Belmont are 2.5-point favorites and the total is 154.5. Prices come from 13 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 13 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
Latest since this preview was written: total now 155.5, was 154.5.
DraftKings bettors lean Belmont on the spread (63% of tickets).
| Book | BetsFurman +2.5Belmont -2.5 | MoneyFurman +2.5Belmont -2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsFurman (+124)Belmont (-148) | MoneyFurman (+124)Belmont (-148) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 154.5Under 154.5 | MoneyOver 154.5Under 154.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | Furman Paladins | Belmont Bruins |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +135betPARX | -138Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +2.5 +102Bet at Novig → exchange price | -2.5 -110Bet at FanDuel → |
| Total 154.5 | O -110betPARX | U -110betPARX |
As of 7:41 PM ET, the spread is Belmont -2.5 and the total is 154.5, with 13 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Furman ML | Belmont ML | Furman spread | Belmont spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | +125 | -150 | +2.5 -105 | -2.5 -115 | O 155.5 -110 | U 155.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +126 | -150 | +2.5 -110 | -2.5 -110 | O 155.5 -110 | U 155.5 -110 |
| Courtside | +127 | -145 | +2.5 -103 | -2.5 -113 | O 155.5 -108 | U 155.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | +124 | -148 | +2.5 -105 | -2.5 -115 | O 155.5 -110 | U 155.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +118 | -142 | +2.5 -110 | -2.5 -110 | O 155.5 -110 | U 155.5 -110 |
| Novig | +133 | -138 | +2.5 +102 | -2.5 -106 | O 155.5 -106 | U 155.5 +102 |
| theScore Bet | +120 | -140 | +2.5 -105 | -2.5 -115 | O 155.5 -115 | U 155.5 -105 |
| Bally Bet | +135 | -167 | +2.5 -103 | -2.5 -120 | – | – |
| betPARX | +135 | -167 | +2.5 -103 | -2.5 -120 | – | – |
| BetRivers | +135 | -167 | +2.5 -104 | -2.5 -121 | – | – |
Prices from 13 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Jack Smiley (BEL)21.0 PPG (3 GP)
Tom House (FUR)19.5 PPG (4 GP)Two books post the two sides of the same point spread, and only one of those prices pays more than the market thinks it should. For a bettor, that gap is the whole story of Furman vs Belmont. The Furman Paladins visit the Belmont Bruins on Saturday, November 14, at 8:30 PM ET at Curb Event Center Arena, streaming on ESPN+. It is very early in the season. Furman has played four games and Belmont three, so the prices have to carry the analysis.
Belmont is the favorite at -139 on the moneyline, and Furman is the underdog at +122. As of Nov. 13, Furman is 4-0 and Belmont is 2-1, but that is far too few games to call either team's form. The schedule tells us more. Furman is on game two of a road trip. It traveled 904 miles from Worcester, crossed one time zone west and has two days of rest.
Belmont has three days of rest and did not travel. The last meeting between these teams was 736 days ago, and Belmont lost it. Our rating, an Elo model built on past results, gives Belmont 62% and Furman 38%. That is a bit more favorable to Belmont than the market, but it is context, not a bet. One per-game split stands out in thin samples: Furman has averaged 9 turnovers over four games, and Belmont has averaged 15.67 over three.
Jack Smiley leads Belmont at 21.0 points per game over three games, which is a small sample. He played 36 minutes last time out, and a Nov. 13 headline notes his 23-point game. Tom House leads Furman at 19.5 points per game over four games and played 30 minutes in Furman's last game. Pace also matters. Pace counts a team's possessions per game, and a possession is one trip down the floor. Over its last 10 stored games, Belmont has averaged 70.3 possessions per game and Furman 67.1.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins, and nothing else. At Furman +122 (Courtside), a $100 bet profits $122. At Belmont -139 (Courtside), a $100 bet profits $71.94. Break-even is the win rate you need to avoid losing money over time. It is 45% for Furman and 58.2% for Belmont. The spread is a bet on the margin. Furman +2.5 wins if Furman wins outright or loses by 2 or fewer, and a 3-point loss loses.
Belmont -2.5 wins only if Belmont wins by 3 or more, so a 2-point win loses. The half point means there is no tie. The total of 154.5 is a bet on combined points. The best prices are Over -106 (Courtside) and Under -105 (theScore Bet). Each price includes the vig, which is the book's fee. With the vig removed, the market's moneyline read is about 56.7% Belmont and 43.3% Furman. A worse price at another book costs you real money.
Expected value, or EV, is what a bet returns on average over many repeats at the market's no-vig read. It is not what any single ticket pays. Most of this board is negative. Furman +2.5 is minus $2.32, the Over is minus $3.28 and the Under is minus $1.93. One price breaks the pattern. The edge is narrow, and a worse price can erase it.
Belmont must win by 3 or more for it to cash. This is Wise Guy Desk analysis, not an official documented play. The edge comes from the price, so keep the stake small and pass if the number gets worse.
Belmont is home and rested, Furman is 904 miles into a road trip, and the market already favors the Bruins. Our Furman vs Belmont prediction is Belmont 79, Furman 74. That adds up to 153, which is under the 154.5 total, but we are not betting the Under because it still carries negative expected value. A five-point margin covers the 2.5, though one late possession can swing a margin this small. That is our read on this number; the Desk's documented free play and the $1 trial sit right below if you want the next step.
Belmont is the market favorite at -138 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Furman at +135. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Furman vs Belmont streams on ESPN+. Tip-off is Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET at Curb Event Center Arena, where the Belmont Bruins host the Furman Paladins, who are on game two of a road trip.
The Belmont Bruins are favored at -139 on the moneyline at Courtside and -2.5 on the point spread. The Furman Paladins are +122 underdogs. With the bookmaker fee removed, the market makes Belmont about a 57% favorite and Furman about 43%.
The Furman vs Belmont game tips off Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET at Curb Event Center Arena. It streams on ESPN+. Belmont comes in with three days of rest and Furman with two.
Furman Paladins vs Belmont Bruins College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 154.5, with the over priced at -110 at betPARX and the under at -110 at betPARX. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
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