Three Wins in Ten, and a Team That Will Not Lose in Regulation
Pittsburgh has won three of ten games this season. Nashville has won three of eight, but three of those eight ended in an overtime or shootout loss, which is the kind of record that hides a competitive team. One club is bleeding points. The other is collecting them one at a time and losing the coin flips. That gap is the story at PPG Paints Arena on Saturday, October 24, 2026, with the puck down at 7:00 PM ET, and it matters more than either team's spot in the standings suggests.
The Matchup
Nashville Predators at Pittsburgh Penguins. The Predators are 3-2-3 as of this writing. The Penguins are 3-6-1. In hockey the three numbers are wins, regulation losses, and overtime or shootout losses, and that third number still pays a point in the standings. So Nashville has nine standings points in eight games. Pittsburgh has seven in ten.
Nashville sits 6th of 8 in the Central Division. Pittsburgh sits 6th of 8 in the Metropolitan Division. This is the first meeting of the year between these two, so there is no season series to lean on yet. In a Penguins vs Predators spot this early, recent form is most of what we have.
Players to Watch
Erik Karlsson leads Pittsburgh with 11 points. Points means goals plus assists. He is a defenseman doing the heavy scoring lift for a team that has lost six times in regulation, which tells you where the offense is being generated and where it is not. Steven Stamkos leads Nashville with 10 points. Two veteran drivers, one point apart, carrying very different situations. If Karlsson is pinned in his own zone chasing the puck, Pittsburgh's best offensive outlet is spending the night defending instead of creating.
The Numbers
Odds are not posted for this game yet, so we will not quote a price we do not have. Here is what to read when they do post. The moneyline is a straight bet on who wins the game, overtime and shootout included. The puck line is hockey's spread, almost always 1.5 goals, so the favorite must win by two or more and the underdog can lose by exactly one and still cash.
The total, often called over/under, is the combined goals by both teams. Every price carries vig, the built-in house margin, which is why the two sides of a market add up to more than 100 percent. The single most important habit for a new bettor: check two or three books before clicking. The same team can be a meaningfully different price at different shops, and taking the best available number costs nothing extra and compounds over a season.
Where the Value Is
Without a posted price we cannot run a no-vig fair number, which is the market's implied probability with the house margin stripped out. So this is a matchup lean, not a priced play. The lean is Nashville. Pittsburgh has lost six games in regulation already and is doing it while missing three regulars. Nashville's three overtime and shootout losses say its games are decided on the margins, not by being overrun. When the moneyline posts, compare it across books and pass if the price does not reward you for backing a road team in a tight spot.
Injuries
Pittsburgh is without three listed players: Bryan Rust (Out), Samuel Girard (Out), and Trevor van Riemsdyk (Injured Reserve). That is scoring depth and two defensemen gone from a team already short on results. Nashville lists one name, Mavrik Bourque, as day-to-day, meaning his status will not be clear until closer to Saturday's warmups. Check the final status Saturday, never a report dated after the puck drops.
The Pick
Predators vs Penguins, Desk lean: Nashville Predators moneyline. No price yet, so no price claim. When it posts, buy it at the best number across books and skip it if the market has already priced Pittsburgh's injuries past fair value. This is Desk analysis, not an official documented play.
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The Prediction
Nashville 3, Pittsburgh 2, five goals total, with the Predators' edge coming from a healthier back end against a Penguins group missing two defensemen and a top forward. That is the read while we wait on the number, and the Desk's documented free daily play, plus the $1 trial, sit right below this page if you want the next step.
Predators vs Penguins FAQ
Who is favored in Predators vs Penguins?
Pittsburgh is 3-6-1 and down three regulars, which is why the Desk leans Nashville when this number finally posts.
Who will win Penguins vs Predators?
Pittsburgh is 3-6-1 and down three regulars, which is why the Desk leans Nashville when this number finally posts. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
Are these NHL picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NHL games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.