Rangers vs Senators Prediction & Odds (Oct 24)

Two Goalies on IR and They Are Still 7-3-1

The New York Rangers have Igor Shesterkin and Joonas Korpisalo on injured reserve at the same time. They are 7-3-1. That is the sharpest fact on this card. Now they travel to Canadian Tire Centre on Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET to face an Ottawa Senators team that has lost three times in nine tries and sits third of eight in the Atlantic Division. Senators vs Rangers is a fresh look this season, and the opening number has not been posted yet, which means the market has not told us what it thinks.

The Matchup

As of publication, New York is 7-3-1 and Ottawa is 6-3-0. In hockey records, the three numbers are wins, regulation losses, then overtime or shootout losses. So the Rangers have banked one extra point from a game they lost past regulation. Ottawa has played two fewer games. The season series starts here on October 24, so there is no head-to-head data to lean on, no revenge angle, no familiarity edge. This is a clean first look between the New York Rangers and the Ottawa Senators, with Ottawa getting last change and the home crowd.

Players to Watch

Alexis Lafreniere leads the Rangers with 13, the top mark on a team that has found offense even with its goaltending depth thinned out. Tim Stutzle leads Ottawa with 12 and is the engine for how this Senators team creates. Those two are close enough that neither side owns a clear star-power advantage. The difference is context: Lafreniere is producing for a club that has had to win games in front of replacement goaltending, while Stutzle is producing for a group missing a top defenseman and a forward.

The Numbers

No prices are posted for this game yet, so there is nothing honest to quote. Here is what will show up and what each piece means. The moneyline is a straight bet on who wins the game, including overtime and shootout. A minus number is the favorite and tells you what you risk to win $100. A plus number is the underdog and tells you what you win on $100 risked.

The puck line is hockey's spread, almost always 1.5 goals, so the favorite must win by two or more and the underdog can lose by exactly one and still cash. The total is the combined goals by both teams, and you bet over or under it. Two things matter when the board opens: whether the market prices New York's goaltending situation as a real downgrade, and where the total lands. When prices post, compare every book, because the gap between the best and worst moneyline is the one edge available to every bettor with no handicapping required.

Where the Value Is

No-vig fair value is the price you get after you strip out the book's built-in commission from both sides of a market. We cannot calculate it here because no prices exist yet. What we can say is the directional read: a 7-3-1 team that has absorbed two goalie injuries and kept winning is a team the market may undersell, especially on the road against a club missing Thomas Chabot.

Expected value is simple once a price exists. If your estimate of the win chance is higher than the percentage the price demands, every $100 risked carries a positive number attached. If it is lower, that same $100 carries a negative one. We want New York, and we want the shortest price available across the market.

Injuries

Six names total, three per side. Ottawa is without Thomas Chabot (Out), William Eklund (Injured Reserve) and Kurtis MacDermid (Injured Reserve). New York lists Igor Shesterkin (Injured Reserve), Joe Veleno (Injured Reserve) and Joonas Korpisalo (Injured Reserve). The Rangers' two are both goalies, which is the headline, but the Chabot absence thins Ottawa's blue line in a way that shows up on the penalty kill and in exits from their own zone.

The Pick

Rangers moneyline. No price is available at publication, so there is no book to name yet. When the market opens Saturday, take the best New York number on the board and pass if the price gets too short to justify.

The Prediction

Rangers 3, Senators 2. Six goals total, decided late. New York has proven it can win without its listed starters in net, and Ottawa's missing defenseman matters more than one extra home game does. That is the read on this number before it posts; the Desk puts out a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.