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Polymarket lists this game, but not enough has traded yet to show the buyers (we show markets with at least 10 trades and $500 traded).
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket and is never added into its numbers.
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RebetFree-to-play social sportsbook with sweepstakes prizesClaim →Indiana Pacers3rd in the Central · 4.5 GB · L5Dallas Mavericks4th in the Southwest · 2.5 GB · L1Five straight losses. Six players listed out and five more day-to-day on the Indiana Pacers' report as of November 3. Dallas has holes of its own. No sportsbook has posted a line yet, so this is a good game to learn how to think before the price shows up.
As of November 3, the Pacers sit at 2-6. That puts them third of five in the Central Division, 4.5 games behind the division leader. Games behind is simply the gap in wins and losses between a team and first place. Their losing streak is at five. The Mavericks are 4-3 as of the same date. They are fourth of five in the Southwest, 2.5 games back, and they lost their last game. Dallas already leads the season series 1-0. Both teams play more games before Monday, so treat these records as a snapshot, not the final word.
Cooper Flagg is the leader Dallas lists in our data, and he has played six of the team's seven games. Pascal Siakam is Indiana's listed leader, with seven appearances in the team's eight games. Here is the catch. Siakam is day-to-day, which means his status is uncertain and could go either way. If the Pacers lose their top guy on top of everyone already out, the gap between these rosters gets wider.
Officially, nobody yet. No odds were posted as of publication. When they arrive, you will see three main bets. The moneyline is a bet on who wins the game outright. A minus number marks the favorite (you risk more to win $100), and a plus number marks the underdog (you win more than you risk).
The spread is a points handicap: the favorite has to win by more than the number, and the underdog can lose by less than it and still cash. The total is a bet on combined points, over or under a set number. Different books post different prices, and getting the best number is the single easiest edge a bettor controls.
Every price includes a built-in fee called the vig, which is how the book profits. Strip the vig out and you get the market-implied probability with the fee removed, the no-vig number. Expected value is what a bet returns on average per $100 risked if you could make it over and over. It is positive only when your read on a team beats the price's break-even rate.
We cannot run that math until a line exists. Our read leans to the Mavericks: they are at home, they hold the better record, they won the first meeting, and Indiana's list of absences is longer. A lean is only worth betting at a fair price, though. If Dallas opens at a steep cost, the value can disappear.
Dallas lists six names. Dereck Lively II, Santi Aldama, Tarik Biberovic and Sergio de Larrea are out. Kyrie Irving and Max Christie are day-to-day. Indiana lists eleven. Tyrese Haliburton, T.J. McConnell, Ben Sheppard, Johnny Furphy, Ivica Zubac and Obi Toppin are out. Siakam, Aaron Nesmith, Andrew Nembhard, Kelly Oubre Jr. and Larry Nance Jr. are day-to-day. All of this is as of November 3, so check the final designations before Monday's tip.
Our Desk lean is the Mavericks on the moneyline. No price or book exists yet, so compare every book once lines post and take the best one. This is Wise Guy Desk analysis, not an official play.
We see Dallas controlling this Pacers vs Mavericks game against a thinned Indiana rotation. Projected final: Mavericks 114, Pacers 105. That is our read before a line exists. The Desk posts a documented free play on game days, and it sits right below.
With the Pacers on a five-game skid and a crowded injury report, we lean Mavericks at home once the odds post.
As of November 3, 2026, sportsbooks had not posted odds for this game, so no team was officially favored. At that point the Mavericks were 4-3, the Pacers were 2-6, and Dallas led the season series 1-0.
With the Pacers on a five-game skid and a crowded injury report, we lean Mavericks at home once the odds post. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: NBA betting splits · DraftKings betting splits
Indiana Pacers: Aaron Nesmith (day-to-day), Andrew Nembhard (day-to-day), Ben Sheppard (out), Ivica Zubac (out); Dallas Mavericks: Dereck Lively II (out), Kyrie Irving (day-to-day), Max Christie (day-to-day), Santi Aldama (out).
As of Nov 3, 9:40 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.
