Los Angeles Dodgers starter · 3-0, 3.02 ERATyler Glasnow
Detroit Tigers starter · 8-9, 4.35 ERAFramber Valdez
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers: odds, trends and the matchup
📊 Best prices from the US sportsbooks and exchanges we track (exchange prices are marked) Line shopping can improve your price
| Market | Los Angeles Dodgers | Detroit Tigers |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -164Pregame price at FanDuel → | +163Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
| Run line | -1 -129Pregame price at ProphetX → exchange price | +1.5 -115Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 7.5 | O +104Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | U -105Pregame price at Hard Rock Bet → |
📊 Team Breakdown archived pregame data
Los Angeles DodgersDetroit Tigers
Season win %
Last 5 games (newest first)
Los Angeles DodgersLLLWL
Detroit TigersLWLLWRuns scored vs allowed, last 5
Los Angeles Dodgers11 for · 14 againstDetroit Tigers8 for · 11 againstPregame chance to win, per the betting market
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Pregame chance to win, per ESPN's computer model
Standings & streak
Los Angeles Dodgers1st NL West · L1Detroit Tigers4th AL Central · 9 GB · W1How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, so it is the market's honest opinion. When that number and ESPN's model disagree, one of them is wrong, and that gap is where value lives.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented MLB plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins the game, nothing else. In this game, +163 means a $100 bet profits $163 if it wins. -164 means you risk $164 to profit $100, that's the favorite. The run line is baseball's point spread, almost always 1.5 runs. The total is a bet on combined runs by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV (positive expected value) means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (the line with the vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn the full system free: Sports Betting 101 · Think Like the Book · Odds converter · No-vig calculator
A First-Place Team That Keeps Losing Meets a Fourth-Place Team That Keeps Fighting
The Los Angeles Dodgers arrive in Detroit sitting first in the NL West at 81-55, yet they have dropped four of their last five games. The Tigers are 63-72, fourth in the AL Central and 9 games back, but they have split two meetings with Los Angeles already this season. When a heavyweight is wobbling and the underdog has already proven it can trade punches, the betting market gets interesting. Sunday at Comerica Park is exactly that kind of spot.
The Matchup
On paper this is lopsided. The Dodgers are 18 games over .500 and leading their division. Detroit is 9 games under. But recent form tells a different story. Los Angeles went L-L-L-W-L over its last five, scoring 11 runs and allowing 14. Detroit went L-W-L-L-W, scoring 8 and allowing 11, and enters on a one-game win streak while the Dodgers enter on a one-game skid. The season series is tied 1-1, so the Tigers have already shown they can beat this club. Neither offense is exactly rolling, which matters for the run total too.
Pitching Matchup
Starting pitchers drive baseball odds more than any single player in any sport, because one arm can control roughly two thirds of a game. The Dodgers send Tyler Glasnow, who is 3-0 with a 3.02 ERA (earned run average, the runs a pitcher allows per nine innings, lower is better). Detroit counters with Framber Valdez, 8-9 with a 4.35 ERA. Glasnow has the sharper numbers and the unbeaten record. Valdez has been more hittable, but he has also carried a far heavier workload, with 17 decisions to Glasnow's 3. That gap in sample size is worth remembering when the market prices this game.
The Numbers
The Dodgers are -164 on the moneyline at FanDuel (a moneyline bet is simply picking who wins; at -164 you risk $164 to win $100). The total is 7.5, so books expect about 7 or 8 runs; you bet whether the real number lands over or under it. Notice those prices come from four different sportsbooks. That is line shopping, and it is our edge: the same bet can pay meaningfully more at one book than another.
Conditions & Injuries
Comerica Park should be comfortable at 73 degrees with a 10 mph wind, nothing extreme for hitters or pitchers. Detroit is thinner on offense, missing Kerry Carpenter and Riley Greene (both 10-day IL) plus Burch Smith (60-day IL). The Dodgers' absences are all pitching depth: Will Klein (15-day), Bobby Miller (60-day) and Blake Treinen (60-day), which puts extra weight on Glasnow going deep.
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Conditions & Injuries
VenueComerica Park
Weather73°F, intermittent clouds, gusts to 10 mph
Season seriesSeries tied 1-1
DETKerry Carpenter (10-Day-IL), Burch Smith (60-Day-IL), Riley Greene (10-Day-IL)
LADWill Klein (15-Day-IL), Bobby Miller (60-Day-IL), Blake Treinen (60-Day-IL)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers FAQ
Who is favored in Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers?
Los Angeles Dodgers is the market favorite at -164 (best price at FanDuel) on the moneyline, with Detroit Tigers at +163. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Are these Wise Guy Team picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown - our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value?
Expected value first - the best price across the books versus the true fair price - then sharp-money confirmation from the betting splits. EV-primary, sharp-confirmed.
What is the total (over/under) for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Detroit Tigers?
The total is 7.5, with the over priced at +104 at Novig and the under at -105 at Hard Rock Bet. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
More for this game: MLB betting splits · DraftKings betting splits