Exchange buyers: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig, ProphetX)
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
How to read these numbers
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Kalshi
Match result$2.1k traded · 264 trades
FC JuárezDrawAtlético de San Luis
Trades
Money
Light trading: $2.1k so far, percentages can swingNovig
Match result pricesprice to buy each outcome
FC JuárezDrawAtlético de San Luis
24¢29¢56¢
Novig does not publish trades, so there is no split of buyers. These are its prices.
Where to bet this game
Odds for this matchup are not posted yet. These are the regulated US sportsbooks we partner with; the best price lands here the moment the books hang a line.
FanDuelBet $5, get $250 in bonus betsClaim →
FanaticsGet Up to $1,000 Matched in FanCashClaim →
BetRivers2nd Chance Bet up to $500 (PA) + 1x playthroughClaim →
UnderdogUp to $1,000 in bonus funds on your first depositClaim →
NovigDeposit $10, get $50 in Trade CreditsClaim →
RebetFree-to-play social sportsbook with sweepstakes prizesClaim →21+. New users. T&Cs apply. We may earn a commission when you sign up through these links.
📊 Match Breakdown real data · updated daily
Form, last 5 matches (W win · D draw · L loss)
Atlético de San LuisLWWDL
FC JuárezWDLLDLiga MX table
| Team | GP | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| América | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 29 |
| Guadalajara | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 29 |
| Cruz Azul | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29 |
| Atlas | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 |
| Toluca | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24 |
| Tijuana | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 22 |
How to read this: the result probabilities come from the actual betting odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out. Soccer has THREE outcomes, and the draw is priced like a real contender, not an afterthought.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to soccer betting? The one rule that surprises everyone. Soccer uses a three-way moneyline: you bet Atlético de San Luis win, FC Juárez win, or the draw, settled after 90 minutes plus stoppage. Unlike American sports, a tie does NOT refund your bet, a draw beats BOTH win bets. The total is combined goals by both teams, usually set at 2.5. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed). Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator
Atletico de San Luis vs FC Juarez Prediction: Momentum Points Both Ways
FC Juárez just won. Atlético de San Luis just lost. Look back one more page, though, and the story flips. San Luis have more points over their last five games (seven to five), and Juárez have only one win in that stretch. That split is where a bettor has to decide which signal to trust. No odds are posted yet, so this is a read on the matchup, built to be ready when the number arrives.
The Matchup
San Luis host this one. Their last five results, newest first, read L, W, W, D, L. That is two wins, a draw and two losses, so seven points out of a possible 15. Juárez travel in with W, D, L, L, D. That is one win, two draws and two losses, so five points. We do not have the current Liga MX table, so we will not guess where either club sits. Here is what the form does tell us. Neither side is running hot, and Juárez draw a lot (two of their last five).
How Soccer Betting Works: The Three-Way Moneyline
A moneyline is a straight bet on who wins, with no point spread. Most American sports give you two outcomes. Soccer gives you three: San Luis win, Juárez win, or a draw. That third option is the trap. If you bet San Luis and the match ends 1-1, your bet loses. The same goes for a Juárez bet.
A draw beats both win tickets. When prices post, you will see three numbers, one for each outcome. A plus number (like +150) shows your profit on a $100 bet. A minus number (like -120) shows what you must risk to win $100. Win prices in soccer often look generous for this reason. Part of the probability lives in the draw.
The Numbers: Who Is Favored to Win Atletico de San Luis vs FC Juarez?
Officially, nobody yet. Books have not posted prices, so there is no favorite to quote and no best price to call out. On paper, the home side brings the better recent record. Once lines go up, check every book you can access. The same bet is often priced differently from one sportsbook to the next. Grabbing the best number is the cheapest edge in betting, and those small gains add up over a season.
Where the Value Is
Every posted price carries the vig, which is the house's cut baked into the odds. Strip it out and you get the no-vig fair price, the market's honest estimate of each outcome. Our job is to compare that estimate with our own. We make San Luis about a 45% winner here. Home field and the better five-game record push them up. Juárez's habit of drawing pulls them back down.
A 45% shot breaks even at +122, so we only want San Luis at +122 or better. Expected value (EV) is what a bet earns on average if you could place it over and over. Here is a hypothetical, not a posted price. Say a book hangs +140 and our 45% is right. A $100 bet wins $140 about 45% of the time and loses $100 about 55% of the time. At +100, the same math comes to about -$10. The price decides everything.
Conditions: What Time Is the Atletico de San Luis vs FC Juarez Game?
The match is set for November 6, 2026, at Estadio Libertad Financiera in San Luis Potosí. We do not have a confirmed kickoff time or a weather report, so check your book's listing before you bet. The one condition we can count on is that San Luis play at home.
The Pick
We take Atlético de San Luis on the three-way moneyline at +122 or better, at whichever book posts the best number. Below that price, we pass. Remember that a draw loses this bet, so do not chase a short price.
FREE · NO CARD · EVERY DAY
That was the Desk's read. Want the documented free play too?
Ross's free VIP play lands in your inbox whenever one is on the board, by 5 PM ET on weekdays and by noon ET on weekends. Every play is posted before the game and graded in public, win or lose. The Official board: 6 straight winning years.
Unsubscribe anytime in one tap. No spam, just the play and the receipts.
The Prediction
San Luis have already shown they can string results together, with two straight wins just before their latest loss. Juárez arrive off a win, but one win in five is not a trend. Their draw habit should keep this tight, and we expect a close game more than a rout. We project San Luis 2-1. That is our read on this matchup, and once the number posts, the documented free daily play and the $1 trial right below are the natural next stop.
More Liga MX matchups
Atlético de San Luis vs FC Juárez FAQ
Who is favored in Atlético de San Luis vs FC Juárez?
With no odds posted yet, we lean Atlético de San Luis at home, but only if the price reaches +122 or better.
Who is favored to win Atletico de San Luis vs FC Juarez?
Sportsbooks have not posted odds yet, so there is no official favorite. On recent form, Atlético de San Luis (L, W, W, D, L) have seven points from their last five games, while FC Juárez (W, D, L, L, D) have five, and San Luis play at home.
What time is the Atletico de San Luis vs FC Juarez game?
The match is scheduled for November 6, 2026. A confirmed kickoff time was not available in our data, so check your sportsbook's listing or the official Liga MX schedule for the exact start time before placing a bet.
Where is Atletico de San Luis vs FC Juarez being played?
Atlético de San Luis host FC Juárez at Estadio Libertad Financiera in San Luis Potosí, Mexico. It is a Liga MX match, and San Luis are the home side.
Can you bet on a draw in Liga MX?
Yes. Soccer's standard bet is the three-way moneyline: home win, away win, or draw in 90 minutes. The draw is a real, often valuable outcome, and a draw makes both win bets lose, which is the biggest adjustment for bettors coming from American sports.
Are these Liga MX picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
More for this game: Soccer betting splits · DraftKings betting splits