Miami (OH) vs Kent State Prediction & Odds (Nov 17) | WGT
The Wise Guy Desk · College Football
Miami (OH) RedHawks logo@Kent State Golden Flashes logo

Miami (OH) vs Kent State Prediction & Odds (Nov 17)

Quick answer
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes starts Tue, Nov 17, 7:00 PM ET at Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium. Listed numbers: spread RedHawks -7.5, total 46.5 and moneyline -295 / +264 (away / home). The Desk's lean: Kent State +7.5 (-110, FanDuel).
From the numbers on this page, compiled by the Wise Guy Desk. Page content last changed November 13, 2026.
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes: Kent State's perfect home cover record meets a Miami (OH) team in a quarterback shuffle, and we lean Golden Flashes +7.5 at FanDuel as a matchup read. · Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium
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Who will win Miami (OH) vs Kent State?

Miami (OH) RedHawks play at Kent State Golden Flashes in college football on Tuesday, November 17, at Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium. As of 8:24 AM ET, Miami (OH) are 7.5-point favorites and the total is 46.5. Prices come from 2 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Kent State +7.5.

Prices updated · from 2 sportsbooks · college football betting splits

RedHawks vs Flashes: line and start time right now

Line
spread RedHawks -7.5; total 46.5; moneyline RedHawks -335, Flashes +229 (consensus of 2 sportsbooks) updated
Start
updated
The lean: Kent State +7.5 (-110, FanDuel)
SpreadRedHawks -7.5
Total46.5
Moneyline, away / home-295 / +264
KickoffTue, Nov 17, 7:00 PM ET
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Exchange buyers: Miami (OH) RedHawks at Kent State Golden Flashes

Kalshi and ProphetX list this game, but not enough has traded yet to show the buyers (we show markets with at least 10 trades and $500 traded).

Polymarket US: prices only

Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.

  • Moneyline: RedHawks 72% chance (price only)

Miami (OH) RedHawks vs Kent State Golden Flashes: odds, trends and our lean

📊 Best prices from the US sportsbooks and exchanges we track (exchange prices are marked) Live prices as of 8:24 AM ET · Line shopping can improve your price
MarketMiami (OH) RedHawksKent State Golden Flashes
Moneyline-295Bet at FanDuel →+264Bet at Polymarket → exchange price
Spread-7.5 -110Bet at FanDuel →+7.5 -110Bet at FanDuel →
Total 46.5O -110Bet at FanDuel →U -110Bet at FanDuel →

What are the odds for Miami (OH) vs Kent State at each sportsbook?

As of 8:24 AM ET, the spread is Miami (OH) -7.5 and the total is 46.5, with 2 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.

SportsbookMiami (OH) MLKent State MLMiami (OH) spreadKent State spreadOverUnder
FanDuel-295+240-7.5 -110+7.5 -110O 46.5 -110U 46.5 -110
Novig-376+217-7.5 -147+7.5 -147––

Prices from 2 sportsbooks we track, updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.

📊 Team Breakdown real data · updated daily
Season win %
Miami (OH) RedHawks
60%
Kent State Golden Flashes
30%
Players to watch
Dru DeShieldsDru DeShields (KENT)159/289, 1,961 YDS, 11 TD, 9 INT (10 GP)
David McCombDavid McComb (M-OH)65/103, 1,121 YDS, 7 TD, 1 INT (4 GP)
How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. In this game, +264 means a $100 bet profits $264 if it wins. The spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator

What Time Is Miami (OH) vs Kent State, and Why Should Bettors Care?

Kent State is 4-0 against the spread at home this season and 0-6 on the road, across 10 graded games. Now the Miami (OH) RedHawks visit Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium as 7.5-point favorites. Covering means beating the point spread, the handicap books set to even out a game. Miami is the better team. The question for a bettor is whether it is eight points better on this field. Kickoff is Tuesday at 7:00 PM ET on ESPNU. The forecast calls for 40 degrees, no wind and no rain.

The Matchup: Kent State vs Miami (OH)

As of publication, Miami is 6-4 and 5th of 13 in the Mid-American Conference. The Kent State Golden Flashes are 3-7. They have not met this season. The last meeting came 734 days ago, and Kent State lost. Both teams have six days of rest. In per-game averages, Miami gains 357.6 total yards to Kent State's 299.9.

Miami turns it over 0.8 times per game to Kent State's 1.9. The crack is Miami's defense, which allows 274.6 net passing yards per game. PPA, or predicted points added per play (the average point value each snap creates), agrees with the yardage. Miami's offense sits at 0.15 and Kent State's at -0.1, over 10 games each.

Players to Watch

Kent State quarterback Dru DeShields has played all 10 games. He averages 196.1 passing yards, 1.1 touchdowns and 0.9 interceptions per game. Lately he is better. Over his last five games he averages 240.8 passing yards and 22.4 rushing yards per game. That matters against a pass defense allowing 274.6 per game. Miami's listed leader, David McComb, averages 280.3 passing yards per game over just four games, a small sample. Drew Bellisari was Miami's quarterback of record last game, a change from the game before. Who starts Tuesday is a real unknown for us.

Who Is Favored to Win Miami (OH) vs Kent State?

Miami is. Start with the moneyline, a straight bet on who wins. Miami is -295 at FanDuel. A $100 bet profits $33.90 when it wins and loses $100 when it does not, so Miami must win 74.7% of the time to break even. Kent State is +240 at FanDuel. A $100 bet profits $240.00 on a win, and the break-even is 29.4%. Now the Miami (OH) vs Kent State spread.

Miami -7.5 at -110 wins only if Miami wins by 8 or more, so a 7-point win loses. Kent State +7.5 at -110 wins if Kent State wins outright or loses by 7 or fewer. That -110 price carries the vig, the book's built-in fee. The total of 46.5 (a bet on combined points) has no posted price, so we skip it. FanDuel has the best price on every number. Always shop lines.

Where the Value Is

Miami needs 74.7% and Kent State needs 29.4%, so by the market's own math neither moneyline clears its bar. Expected value is your average result per bet over many tries. A ticket that falls short of its break-even loses money on average, even on nights it wins. Our rating, an Elo model built on past results, has Kent State at 34% and Miami at 66%.

That is context, not a bet. Our opinion lives on the spread. Kent State is 4-0 against the spread at home and Miami is 1-3 on the road, with its quarterback spot unsettled. That is a matchup lean, not a price edge. Nothing in our data shows a no-vig spread figure beating the 52.4% break-even.

The Pick

Kent State Golden Flashes +7.5 at -110 at FanDuel. It needs to hit 52.4% to break even. It cashes on a Kent State win or any loss of 7 or fewer, and an 8-point Miami win beats it. If a book later posts a bigger number at the same price, that is the better ticket. This is Desk analysis, not an official Wise Guy Team play.

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The Prediction

Miami should win. It moves the ball better, protects it better and rates higher. But Kent State has been a different team at home. DeShields is throwing better lately, and Miami's pass defense gives him room. Our Kent State vs Miami (OH) prediction is Miami 27, Kent State 21. That adds to 48, above the 46.5 total, though we are not betting a total with no posted price. A 6-point Miami win keeps Kent State inside the 7.5. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.

Miami (OH) vs Kent State FAQ

Who is favored in Miami (OH) vs Kent State?

Miami (OH) is the market favorite at -295 (best price at FanDuel) on the moneyline, with Kent State at +264. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.

Where to watch Miami (OH) vs Kent State?

Miami (OH) vs Kent State airs on ESPNU. The game is played at Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium, with kickoff set for Tuesday, November 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET.

Who is favored to win Miami (OH) vs Kent State?

The Miami (OH) RedHawks are favored. The best moneyline is Miami (OH) -295 and Kent State +240, both at FanDuel. On the point spread, Miami (OH) is a 7.5-point favorite at -110, with Kent State +7.5 at -110.

What time is the Miami (OH) vs Kent State game?

Kickoff is Tuesday, November 17, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET on ESPNU. The forecast for the outdoor venue, Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium, calls for 40 degrees, no wind and a 0% chance of precipitation.

Who will win Kent State vs Miami (OH)?

Kent State's perfect home cover record meets a Miami (OH) team in a quarterback shuffle, and we lean Golden Flashes +7.5 at FanDuel as a matchup read. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.

What is the total (over/under) for Miami (OH) vs Kent State?

The total is 46.5, with the over priced at -110 at FanDuel and the under at -110 at FanDuel. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.

Are these College Football picks free?

Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.

How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in College Football games?

Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.

This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.

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