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DraftKings bettors lean Vermont Catamounts on the spread (80% of tickets).
| Book | BetsVermont Catamounts +1.5Iona Gaels -1.5 | MoneyVermont Catamounts +1.5Iona Gaels -1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsVermont Catamounts (-105)Iona Gaels (-115) | MoneyVermont Catamounts (-105)Iona Gaels (-115) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Last read before kickoff .
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. Polymarket US does not publish trades, so it shows prices only and no buyer split is drawn. It is a separate venue from Polymarket and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Opened | Closed | Circa closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (home line) | -1.5 | +1 | n/a |
| Total | 146.5 | 145.5 | n/a |
| Moneyline (away / home) | n/a | -115 / -105 | n/a |
Opened is the first number we saw and closed the last before kickoff, the median across the books we track. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book, shown as a reference.
| Market | Vermont Catamounts | Iona Gaels |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +100Pregame price at Hard Rock Bet → | +100Pregame price at Caesars → |
| Spread | +1.5 -115Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | -1.5 +108Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 145.5 | O -102Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | U -105Pregame price at FanDuel → |
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Both moneylines on this game sit at +100. That is as close to a coin flip as a sportsbook gets. Yet the spread has drifted toward Iona while most of the early exchange money has landed on Vermont. The Vermont Catamounts visit the Iona Gaels at the Hynes Athletics Center on Monday, November 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET, streaming on ESPN+. It is Iona's season opener at home. When a game is priced this tight, a few cents of price decide whether a bet is smart or not.
Barely Iona. Neither team has played yet, so both are 0-0 with no streaks, no standings and no form to lean on. With the bookmaker's cut removed, the market gives Iona 51% and Vermont 49%. That cut is called the vig, or juice. It is the house fee baked into every price. These teams last met 317 days ago, and Iona won. Our rating, an Elo model built on past results, has Iona at 55% and Vermont at 45%.
That is context, not a bet. On travel, Vermont is on game 2 of a road trip, coming 187 miles from Baltimore with no time-zone change. Iona traveled 112 miles from Atlantic City, also with no time-zone change. Over the last 10 stored games, Vermont averaged 64 possessions and 110.8 points per 100 possessions. Iona averaged 66.8 possessions and 111.8 points per 100. A possession is one trip down the floor with the ball. Iona plays a bit faster and a touch more efficiently.
We are not pinning these lines to either roster, so treat them as names to track, not a reason to back a side. TJ Hurley scored 16.4 points per game over his last five games (14.5 over his last ten) in 33.4 minutes. Sean Blake scored 9.6 per game over his last five (10 over ten) in 29 minutes.
Noah Barnett posted 8 points and 4.6 rebounds per game over his last five (7 points over ten) in 26 minutes. Lucas Mari grabbed 4.2 rebounds per game over his last five in 20 minutes. Ben Johnson scored 2.2 per game over his last five (4.9 over ten). Jackson Skipper played 3 minutes per game across his last ten.
Start with the moneyline, a bet on who wins outright. Vermont is +100 at Hard Rock Bet and Iona is +100 at Caesars. Plus 100 means a $100 bet profits $100. Iona -1.5 wins only if Iona wins by 2 or more. Vermont +1.5 wins if Vermont wins or loses by 1. A half point means no push, which is a tie that refunds your bet. The spread opened Iona -1 and moved to -1.5. It opened 147.5 and fell after 11 moves. On Kalshi, 72% of moneyline money traded is on the Catamounts (56 trades, $1.3k). That is light trading, so it can swing.
Break-even is the win rate a price needs to stop losing money. Iona at +100 needs 50%. Expected value is the average over many bets like this one, not what you win on any single ticket. Vermont at +100 flips that to minus $1.21. Every other ticket is negative. The Under is minus $0.81, Vermont +1.5 is minus $2.33, and the Over is minus $2.57, all per $100 risked.
Iona Gaels moneyline +100 at Caesars. This is Wise Guy Desk analysis, not an official play. The edge is thin, so the price is the whole bet. If your book shows Iona at a minus price, check the other books first.
Our Iona vs Vermont prediction: Iona 73, Vermont 70. That adds to 143, under the 145.5 total, though the pace numbers put this game close to that line. We expect Iona's slightly quicker tempo to tell late at home. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.
Vermont Catamounts vs Iona Gaels College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk.
Vermont vs Iona streams on ESPN+. The game is at the Hynes Athletics Center, the home floor of the Iona Gaels, and tips off Monday, November 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. ESPN+ is the only broadcast listed for this game.
The Vermont Catamounts and Iona Gaels tip off Monday, November 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at the Hynes Athletics Center. It is Iona's season opener at home, and the game streams on ESPN+.
Vermont Catamounts vs Iona Gaels College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 145.5, with the over priced at -102 at Novig and the under at -105 at FanDuel. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits
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