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These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Last read before kickoff .
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. Polymarket US does not publish trades, so it shows prices only and no buyer split is drawn. It is a separate venue from Polymarket and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Opened | Closed | Circa closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (home line) | -12.5 | -15.5 | n/a |
| Total | 147 | 152.5 | n/a |
| Moneyline (away / home) | n/a | +950 / -1973 | n/a |
Opened is the first number we saw and closed the last before kickoff, the median across the books we track. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book, shown as a reference.
| Market | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Richmond Spiders |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +590Bet at Novig → exchange price | -761Bet at Courtside → |
| Spread | +12.5 -108Bet at Courtside → | -12.5 -108Bet at Courtside → |
| Total 146.5 | O -110Bet at Caesars → | U -105Bet at FanDuel → |
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
The books need Richmond to win by 13 to cash the favorite's spread. That number has already jumped from -11.5 to -12.5 at six books within five minutes, for a season opener with no games on the board. That is where the questions start. The UNC Asheville Bulldogs visit the Richmond Spiders at the Robins Center on Monday, November 2, at 7:00 PM ET, streaming on ESPN+.
Richmond is favored, and heavily. Both teams are 0-0. Neither team has played a game this season. It is that early. Here is what we do have. Richmond plays at home, indoors. UNC Asheville traveled 283 miles from its last game in Johnson City. Richmond traveled 242 miles from its last game in Pittsburgh. Neither team changes time zones.
Over its last 10 stored games, UNC Asheville averaged 66.7 possessions per game (a possession is one trip down the floor with the ball) and scored 106.9 points per 100 possessions. Richmond averaged 66.2 possessions and 107.2 points per 100. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results, gives Richmond 58% and UNC Asheville 42%. The market says about 89% to 11%. We treat that gap as context only. We do not bet off it.
Our stored logs track six names for this game. The data does not tag them by team, so we will not guess which bench each one sits on. AJ Lopez carries the biggest load: 15.8 points per game over his last 5 games (14.4 over his last 10), in 31 minutes a night. Will Johnston averaged 10.6 points over his last 5 games (10 over 10), in 29 minutes.
Mike Walz posted 9 points and 4 rebounds per game over his last 5 games (8.4 and 5.1 over 10). Collin Tanner added 8.2 points and 4.2 rebounds per game over his last 5 games. Mikkel Tyne scored 7.6 points per game over his last 5 games. Jaylen Robinson scored 1 point per game over his last 5 games, in 12.8 minutes.
Here are the UNC Asheville vs Richmond odds, line by line. The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. Richmond is the favorite at -761 (best at Courtside), so $100 risked profits $13.14. The spread adds points to even things out. Richmond -12.5 wins only if Richmond wins by 13 or more, and a 12-point Richmond win loses. UNC Asheville +12.5 wins if UNC Asheville wins outright or loses by 12 or fewer.
Both sides are -108 at Courtside: $100 profits $92.59, and you need to win 51.9% of the time to break even. The spread opened at Richmond -13 and sits at -12.5 after four moves. The total is the two teams' combined points. It opened at 147 and now sits at 146.5. The best Over price is -110 at Caesars and the best Under price is -105 at FanDuel. Every price above is the best we found across books. A better price on the same bet lowers the win rate you need.
Every book builds in a cut called the vig. Expected value is your average result per bet if you could make it many times. UNC Asheville +590 needs 14.5% to break even. The only positive number is Richmond at -761 at Courtside. It needs 88.4% to break even, and the market's no-vig read is 88.9%. That is thin. So this is a small lean that depends entirely on getting the price.
We like the Richmond Spiders moneyline at -761, best at Courtside. It is the only price on this board where the market's own read clears break-even. Keep the stake small.
Two teams near 66 possessions a game point to a steady pace. We see Richmond controlling the game at home and winning 78-66. That adds up to 144 points, under the 146.5 total. A 12-point margin would also land on the UNC Asheville +12.5 side. We are not betting either of those markets, because both grade negative at the best prices. Richmond vs UNC Asheville comes down to one read for us: the Spiders win, and the moneyline is the only price worth taking. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Richmond is the market favorite at -761 (best price at Courtside) on the moneyline, with UNC Asheville at +590. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
UNC Asheville vs Richmond streams on ESPN+. The game tips off Monday, November 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at the Robins Center, Richmond's indoor home arena. It is the season opener for both the UNC Asheville Bulldogs and the Richmond Spiders.
The game starts Monday, November 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM Eastern time at the Robins Center. It streams on ESPN+. Both teams enter at 0-0, so this is the first game of the season for each program.
Richmond is a heavy home favorite, and the one price on the board the market math backs is the Spiders moneyline at -761 at Courtside, by a sliver. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 146.5, with the over priced at -110 at Caesars and the under at -105 at FanDuel. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits
The spread opened Spiders -13 and is now -12.5; the total moved from 147 to 146.5; several books (6) moved the spread on home to -12.5 together.
As of Nov 1, 8:55 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.