Richmond vs Temple Prediction & Odds (Nov 8)

Who Is Favored to Win Richmond vs Temple?

Richmond is favored by only 15 cents. Temple is barely an underdog. With the bookmaker's cut removed, the market gives the Richmond Spiders about a 53.5% chance to beat the Temple Owls, and our rating (an Elo model built on past results, used only for context) lands almost in the same spot at 52%. When the books and a model agree this closely, the real question is not who wins. It is who pays you the most for being right. Tip is Sunday, November 8 at 5:00 PM ET on ESPN2 from The Palestra.

The Matchup: Temple vs Richmond at The Palestra

It is very early. Richmond is two games into the season and Temple is one game in, which is far too little to judge form. This is officially a neutral site, so neither team is at home. Temple traveled 0 miles and comes in on five days of rest. Richmond traveled 207 miles on two days of rest.

Neither team is on a back-to-back, and neither changed time zones. The sharpest real contrast in Temple vs Richmond is style. Over their last 10 stored games, Richmond played at 68.2 possessions per game (a possession is one trip down the floor with the ball) and scored 114.8 points per 100 possessions. Temple played slower at 64.9 and scored 107.

Players to Watch

Dominick Stewart leads Richmond at 11.5 per game over two games, a small sample. He has logged 48 minutes across the last seven days, though Andrew Ball and Will Harper III each topped his 20 minutes last game with 22. Jordan Marsh leads Temple at 16.0 over one game, also a small sample. Temple leaned hard on three players last time out: Marsh and Baboucarr Njie played 30 minutes each and Gavin Griffiths played 29.

What Is the Spread for Richmond vs Temple?

Here are the Richmond vs Temple odds, line by line. The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. Richmond at -115 (best at ProphetX) means a $100 bet profits $86.96. The spread is a bet on the margin. Temple +1.5 at +100 (best at Kalshi) wins if Temple wins outright or loses by 1.

A price of +100 is even money: risk $100, profit $100. The half point means no push (a tie where you get your money back). The total is a bet on combined points. That total moved from 152.5 to 151.5 at three books within five minutes before reaching 150.5. Shopping across books for these prices is the edge you control.

Where the Value Is

Books build in a fee called the vig. Strip it out and you get the market's no-vig read. Break-even is how often a bet must win to stop losing money. Expected value is your average result per $100 risked over many bets like it. Temple's needs 46.9% against a market read of 46.5%, so it returns minus $0.87. The Over returns minus $1.79 and the Under returns minus $1.07. There is no priced edge on this board. The even-money spreads are simply the only spots where you are not paying extra by the market's own math.

The Pick

It needs to win 50% of the time to break even, and the market's cover read is also 50%, so this is a matchup lean, not a value play. The case is the efficiency gap: 114.8 points per 100 possessions against 107, plus a faster pace, over each team's last 10 stored games.

The Prediction

Our Richmond vs Temple prediction is Richmond 76, Temple 71. A five-point Richmond win would cash the -1.5. That is the read on this number, and the Desk's documented free play for today sits right below.