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These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Last read before kickoff .
| Market | Opened | Closed | Circa closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (home line) | -7.5 | -7.5 | n/a |
| Total | 139.5 | 138.5 | n/a |
| Moneyline (away / home) | n/a | +256 / -323 | n/a |
Opened is the first number we saw and closed the last before kickoff, the median across the books we track. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book, shown as a reference.
| Market | Rider Broncs | Binghamton Bearcats |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +277Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | -285Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +7.5 -105Pregame price at Fanatics → | -7.5 -105Pregame price at Bally Bet → |
| Total 138.5 | O -104Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | U -104Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Jeremiah Quigley (BING)18.5 PPG (2 GP)
Khalil Farmer (RID)10.5 PPG (2 GP)Binghamton is a -285 favorite, and the total has fallen from 144.5 at the open to 138.5 after four moves. That is a lot of movement for two teams that have played four games combined. The Rider Broncs visit the Binghamton Bearcats at the Events Center (Binghamton) on Sunday, November 8, at 4:00 PM ET, streaming on ESPN+. One price on this board pays a little more than the market's own read. The rest do not. Let's find it.
Binghamton is the favorite. Rider is 0-2 and Binghamton is 1-1 as of publication. But it is two games into the season, far too early to treat either record as form. The schedule is a wash. Both teams come in on two days of rest, neither is on a back-to-back, and neither changes time zones. Rider traveled 139 miles from home.
Binghamton traveled 134 miles from its last game in Jersey City. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results and used only as context, gives Binghamton 76% to win and Rider 24%. That sits close to the market. Our stored data also has both teams at a similar tempo, about 64 to 65 possessions a game, so on paper this does not shape up as a track meet.
Jeremiah Quigley is Binghamton's listed leader in our data at 9.3 per game over two games, a small sample. A Nov. 7 headline also noted his 28-point performance. He played 36 minutes last game, while Dylan Godfrey logged all 40 and Demetrius Lilley played 33. For Rider, Khalil Farmer is the listed leader at 5.3 per game over two games, also a small sample. He played 33 minutes last game, with Bryce Baker and Ty Bevins at 30 each. Two games show us who the coaches trust with minutes. They do not show us much else yet, so we are not building anything on these numbers.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. On a $100 bet, a win profits $35.09. Break-even is the win rate a price needs just to get your money back over time. That is 74% for Binghamton and 26.5% for Rider.
The spread is a handicap on the final margin. Binghamton -7.5 (-105 at Bally Bet) wins only if Binghamton wins by 8 or more. Rider +7.5 (-105 at Fanatics) wins if Rider wins outright or loses by 7 or fewer. The half point means no push, which is a tie that refunds your bet. At -105, $100 profits $95.24, and each side needs 51.2% to break even. The consensus spread opened at Binghamton -7.5 and is unchanged, though four books moved Rider from +8.5 to +7.5 within five minutes.
The total is a bet on combined points. Books disagreed early, posting openers from 137.5 at ESPN BET to 140.5 at Ballybet. Every price here is the best we found across the books we track. Shopping for it is the easiest edge a bettor has.
The vig is the sportsbook's fee, baked into every price. Strip it out and the market reads Binghamton at 75.4% and Rider at 24.6%. That is the market-implied probability with the vig removed, not a promise. Expected value is what a bet returns on average over many tries. Small, but positive. Only one ticket on this board is positive.
This is Desk analysis, not an official play. The edge is thin, and it lives at this price. A worse number elsewhere shrinks it or erases it. Size it small and only take the best price.
We see Binghamton handling this at home, 72-63. The moneyline is. That is our read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Binghamton is the market favorite at -285 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Rider at +277. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Rider vs Binghamton streams on ESPN+. The game tips off Sunday, November 8, 2026, at 4:00 PM ET from the Events Center (Binghamton), with the Rider Broncs visiting the Binghamton Bearcats.
The Rider vs Binghamton game starts Sunday, November 8, 2026, at 4:00 PM ET at the Events Center (Binghamton). Both teams come in on two days of rest, and the broadcast is on ESPN+.
Rider Broncs vs Binghamton Bearcats College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 138.5, with the over priced at -104 at Novig and the under at -104 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits
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