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This game has ended. Each team's next preview is below, with the current odds and the Desk's read.
Who was the public betting on Merrimack Warriors vs UAlbany Great Danes?
DraftKings bettors lean Merrimack Warriors on the spread (91% of tickets).
| Book | BetsMerrimack Warriors -2.5UAlbany Great Danes +2.5 | MoneyMerrimack Warriors -2.5UAlbany Great Danes +2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsMerrimack Warriors (-135)UAlbany Great Danes (+114) | MoneyMerrimack Warriors (-135)UAlbany Great Danes (+114) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 134.5Under 134.5 | MoneyOver 134.5Under 134.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
Exchange buyers before kickoff: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig, ProphetX)
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
How to read these numbers
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Kalshi
Moneyline$3.5k traded · 95 trades · $7.0k open
Merrimack WarriorsUAlbany Great Danes
Trades
Money
Light trading: $3.5k so far, percentages can swingLast read before kickoff .
How the number moved: Merrimack Warriors at UAlbany Great Danes
| Market | Opened | Closed | Circa closed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread (home line) | +1.5 | +2 | n/a |
| Total | 134.5 | 135.5 | n/a |
| Moneyline (away / home) | n/a | -135 / +112 | n/a |
Opened is the first number we saw and closed the last before kickoff, the median across the books we track. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book, shown as a reference.
Merrimack Warriors vs UAlbany Great Danes: odds, trends and our lean
📊 Best prices from the US sportsbooks and exchanges we track (exchange prices are marked) Prices when this preview was published
| Market | Merrimack Warriors | UAlbany Great Danes |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -125Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | +122Pregame price at Caesars → |
| Spread | -2.5 -102Pregame price at FanDuel → | +2.5 -108Pregame price at Courtside → |
| Total 135.5 | O +100Pregame price at Novig → exchange price | U -104Pregame price at Novig → exchange price |
📊 Team Breakdown archived pregame data
Season win %
Merrimack Warriors
0%
UAlbany Great Danes
100%
Chance to win, per the betting market (vig removed)
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Players to watch
Tyler Jones (UALB)19.5 PPG (2 GP)Jeremiah Anderson (MRMK)11.0 PPG (2 GP)
How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. In this game, +122 means a $100 bet profits $122 if it wins. The spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator
Merrimack vs UAlbany Prediction: A Total Nobody Agreed On
Thirteen sportsbooks opened this total anywhere from 130.5 (Fanatics) to 135.5 (FanDuel). That is a 5-point disagreement on one college basketball game. The Merrimack Warriors visit the UAlbany Great Danes at Broadview Center with the road team favored by the books. Our rating sees it the other way. Two games into the season, the price is the story.
What Time Is the Merrimack vs UAlbany Game?
Tip is Sunday, November 8 at 2:00 PM ET, streaming on ESPN+. Merrimack is 0-2 and UAlbany is 2-0. It is two games into the season, far too early for those records to mean much. Both teams have 2 days of rest and neither is on a back-to-back. Merrimack traveled 133 miles from home. UAlbany traveled 125 miles from its last game at Riverdale. Neither team changes time zones. Over the last 10 stored games, Merrimack averaged 62.8 possessions (trips down the floor) and 103.3 points per 100 possessions. UAlbany averaged 64.5 and 111.7.
Players to Watch in UAlbany vs Merrimack
Tyler Jones leads UAlbany in our feed with a 19.5 season total, 9.8 per game over two games, a small sample. A Nov 7 headline read "Albany (NY) takes on Merrimack after Jones' 23-point outing." Jeremiah Anderson leads Merrimack with 11.0, or 5.5 per game over two games, also a small sample. Minutes are worth watching. Last game, UAlbany's Ollie Engen played 40 (75 over seven days), Jones 38 (67) and Zacharie Matulu 31 (64). Merrimack's AJ Lesburt Jr. played 32 (67), Ayden Johnson 28 (55) and Denver Anglin 27 (57).
Who Is Favored to Win Merrimack vs UAlbany?
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. UAlbany is the underdog at +122, best at Caesars, so $100 profits $122. Books build in a fee called the vig. With it removed, the market reads 55.5% Merrimack to 44.5% UAlbany. Our rating has UAlbany 53% and Merrimack 47%. That is context, not a bet. On Kalshi, 67% of the money traded on the moneyline is on UAlbany, but that is light trading (95 trades, $3.5k).
The spread is a bet on the margin. Merrimack -2.5 at -102 (FanDuel) needs a win by 3 or more. A 2-point win loses. UAlbany +2.5 at -108 (Courtside) wins outright or by losing by 2 or fewer. The half point means no push (a tie that refunds your bet). DraftKings moved first from 134.5 to 135.5 at 11:39 AM ET, and 5 books followed within 10 minutes. Other books moved from 135.5 to 134.5 and from 133.5 to 134.5. Shop every half point.
Where the Value Is
Break-even is how often a bet must win to break even. Expected value is the average result per bet over many tries. UAlbany's needs 45% against 44.5%, for minus $1.25. Merrimack -2.5 needs 50.5% against 50%, for minus $0.98. UAlbany +2.5 needs 51.9% against 50%, for minus $3.70. The Over needs 50% against 48.7%, for minus $2.65. That is the only positive number on the board. It is an average, not what you win. The official, Ryan Corbett, shows 5 unders and 2 overs in 7 graded games. His average combined score is 140.2 in our 22-game sample, so that data cuts both ways.
The Pick
Get 135.5, not 134.5. A higher total gives Under bettors more room. Below that number or price, the small edge disappears.
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The Prediction
We see a grind at Broadview Center: Merrimack 67, UAlbany 65. That adds to 132, which is 3.5 points under the 135.5 total. That is the read on this number. The Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
More College Basketball matchups
Merrimack vs UAlbany FAQ
Who is favored in Merrimack vs UAlbany?
Merrimack is the market favorite at -125 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with UAlbany at +122. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
What time is the Merrimack vs UAlbany game?
The game tips Sunday, November 8, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET at Broadview Center. It streams on ESPN+. Both teams come in on 2 days of rest, and neither is playing on a back-to-back.
Who will win UAlbany vs Merrimack?
Merrimack Warriors vs UAlbany Great Danes College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
What is the total (over/under) for Merrimack vs UAlbany?
The total is 135.5, with the over priced at +100 at Novig and the under at -104 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Are these College Basketball picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in College Basketball games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits