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Illinois Fighting Illini play at Texas Tech Red Raiders in the college basketball on Tuesday, November 10, at United Supermarkets Arena. As of 10:09 AM ET, Illinois are 1.5-point favorites and the total is 161.5. Prices come from 6 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Illinois ML.
Prices updated (12 min ago) · from 6 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Texas Tech on the moneyline (67% of tickets).
| Book | BetsIllinois (-135)Texas Tech (+114) | MoneyIllinois (-135)Texas Tech (+114) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | Illinois Fighting Illini | Texas Tech Red Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -132Bet at Courtside → | +133Bet at Polymarket → exchange price |
| Spread | -1.5 -110Bet at Courtside → | +1.5 -105Bet at Fanatics → |
| Total 161.5 | O -108Bet at Courtside → | U -108Bet at Courtside → |
As of 10:09 AM ET, the spread is Illinois -1.5 and the total is 161.5, with 6 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Illinois ML | Texas Tech ML | Illinois spread | Texas Tech spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | -132 | +116 | -1.5 -110 | +1.5 -106 | O 161.5 -108 | U 161.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | -135 | +114 | -1.5 -112 | +1.5 -108 | O 161.5 -110 | U 161.5 -110 |
| Fanatics | -135 | +115 | -1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 | O 161.5 -110 | U 161.5 -110 |
| theScore Bet | -140 | +120 | -1.5 -115 | +1.5 -105 | O 161.5 -110 | U 161.5 -110 |
| ReBet | -134 | +101 | -1.5 -116 | +1.5 -111 | – | – |
| ProphetX | – | – | -1.5 -132 | +1.5 +104 | – | – |
Prices from 6 sportsbooks we track, updated (12 min ago). Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn (TTU)15.0 PPG (2 GP)
Andrej Stojakovic (ILL)22.5 PPG (2 GP)Illinois is laying 1.5 points on the road, and the board is not handing out bargains on either side. The market prices the Illinois Fighting Illini at 55% to win, while our rating (a simple model built from past results) nudges the Texas Tech Red Raiders ahead at 52%. That split is why this Illinois vs Texas Tech prediction is about price, not hype. Tip is Tuesday, November 10, at 8:00 PM ET at United Supermarkets Arena, streaming on Peacock.
Illinois is the favorite. Both teams are 2-0, but they are only two games into the season, so those records tell us almost nothing yet. The schedule spot is even. Each side has four days of rest, and neither is on a back-to-back. Illinois travels 876 miles with no time-zone change. Texas Tech plays game three of a home stand.
The last meeting came 364 days before this one, and Texas Tech lost it. Over the last 10 stored games, Illinois played a bit faster at 67.1 possessions per game (a possession is one trip down the floor) and scored 127.2 points per 100 possessions. Texas Tech checked in at 64.8 and 118. With only two games played this season, that window reaches back into last season, so treat it as context.
Andrej Stojakovic leads Illinois at 11.3 points per game over two games, a small sample. Over his last five stored games he averages 16.8 points and 5 rebounds in 25.2 minutes, a fuller picture. Last time out, Ethan Brown (27 minutes) and Zavier Zens (21) joined Stojakovic (22) as the heaviest workloads. For Texas Tech, Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn averages 7.5 points per game over two games, also a small sample. He played 32 minutes last game, behind Cruz Davis (39) and Donovan Atwell (33).
The moneyline is a bet on who wins. Illinois at -125 (best at Fanatics) means a $100 bet profits $80 if the Illini win. Texas Tech at +116 (best at Courtside) means $100 profits $116 if the Red Raiders win. The spread is a bet on the margin.
Illinois -1.5 at -110 (Fanatics) wins only if Illinois wins by 2 or more, so a 1-point win loses. Texas Tech +1.5 at -106 (Courtside) wins if Texas Tech wins outright or loses by 1. The -106 pays more than -110, so shop it. The total is 161.5 combined points, with Over and Under both -108 at Courtside. Every price carries the vig, the book's built-in cut.
Strip out the vig and the market reads Illinois at 54.6% to win. The spreads are worse. Nothing here is positive. The Illinois moneyline simply costs the least per $100 risked.
Thin lean: Illinois moneyline -125 at Fanatics. Be clear on what this is. By the arithmetic it is a negative-expectation price, so it is a small-stake matchup opinion, not a value bet. If your book is worse than -125, pass. This is Wise Guy Desk analysis, not an official Wise Guy Team play.
Our Texas Tech vs Illinois prediction: Illinois 82, Texas Tech 79. That adds up to 161 points, half a point under the 161.5 total, which is exactly why we hold no opinion on the total. The Fighting Illini's stronger scoring rate in the stored numbers is the tiebreaker for us. The Red Raiders' home floor keeps it close. That is the full read on this number, and the Desk's documented free play for the day sits right below if you want the next step.
Illinois is the market favorite at -132 (best price at Courtside) on the moneyline, with Texas Tech at +133. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Illinois vs Texas Tech streams on Peacock. The game tips Tuesday, November 10, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET from United Supermarkets Arena, home of the Texas Tech Red Raiders. That is the only broadcast listed for this game.
The Illinois Fighting Illini are the favorite at -125 (best at Fanatics), and the Texas Tech Red Raiders are the underdog at +116 (best at Courtside). With the vig removed, the market reads it about 55% Illinois to 45% Texas Tech. Illinois is a 1.5-point spread favorite.
The Illinois vs Texas Tech game starts Tuesday, November 10, 2026, at 8:00 PM ET. It is played at United Supermarkets Arena, an indoor venue, and streams on Peacock.
Illinois is a short road favorite at -125, and our thin lean sits with the Illini moneyline at Fanatics, even though no price on this board clears its own break-even. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 161.5, with the over priced at -108 at Courtside and the under at -108 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
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