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Kansas Jayhawks play at Kentucky Wildcats in the college basketball on Tuesday, November 10, at United Center. As of 11:09 AM ET, Kansas are 5.5-point favorites and the total is 155.5. Prices come from 8 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Kansas ML. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated (7 min ago) · from 8 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
DraftKings bettors lean Kentucky on the moneyline (71% of tickets).
| Book | BetsKansas (-278)Kentucky (+225) | MoneyKansas (-278)Kentucky (+225) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
| Market | Kansas Jayhawks | Kentucky Wildcats |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -233Bet at Polymarket → exchange price | +230Bet at Courtside → |
| Spread | -5.5 -108Bet at Courtside → | +5.5 -108Bet at Courtside → |
| Total 155.5 | O -108Bet at Courtside → | U -108Bet at Courtside → |
As of 11:09 AM ET, the spread is Kansas -5.5 and the total is 155.5, with 8 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Kansas ML | Kentucky ML | Kansas spread | Kentucky spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | -265 | +195 | -5.5 -110 | +5.5 -110 | O 155.5 -112 | U 155.5 -109 |
| betPARX | -265 | +195 | -5.5 -110 | +5.5 -110 | O 155.5 -112 | U 155.5 -109 |
| BetRivers | -265 | +195 | -5.5 -112 | +5.5 -112 | O 155.5 -113 | U 155.5 -110 |
| Courtside | -271 | +230 | -5.5 -108 | +5.5 -108 | O 155.5 -108 | U 155.5 -108 |
| DraftKings | -278 | +225 | -5.5 -110 | +5.5 -110 | O 155.5 -110 | U 155.5 -110 |
| ReBet | -285 | +204 | -5.5 -114 | +5.5 -114 | O 155.5 -114 | U 155.5 -114 |
| Caesars | – | – | -5.5 -110 | +5.5 -110 | O 155.5 -110 | U 155.5 -110 |
| ProphetX | – | – | -5.5 -105 | +5.5 -105 | O 155.5 -107 | U 155.5 -107 |
Prices from 8 sportsbooks we track, updated (7 min ago). Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Milan Momcilovic (UK)15.5 PPG (2 GP)
Tre White (KU)15.5 PPG (2 GP)The betting market makes the Kansas Jayhawks a 72% favorite over the Kentucky Wildcats. Our rating, a model built on past results, has Kansas at just 55%. That 17-point gap is the tension here, and it is why the price, not the brand names, decides whether a bet exists. Kansas vs Kentucky tips Tuesday, November 10 at 9:30 PM ET on ESPN from the United Center. Our rating is context only, never a bet.
Kansas is the favorite. Both teams were 2-0 as of publication, but two games into the season is far too early to call that form. This is a neutral site, so neither team is at home. Both get 3 days of rest and neither is on a back-to-back. Kansas traveled 446 miles with no time-zone change.
Kentucky traveled 315 miles and crossed one time zone west. Over their last 10 stored games, Kansas played at 69.5 possessions per game (a possession is one trip down the floor) and scored 105.1 points per 100 possessions. Kentucky ran 69.3 possessions and scored 116.7 per 100. The pace is nearly identical, so the efficiency gap is the number to watch.
Milan Momcilovic leads the Wildcats with a 15.5 season total over two games (7.8 per game), a small sample. Tre White leads the Jayhawks with the same 15.5 over two games (7.8 per game), also a small sample. Momcilovic logged 32 minutes last game, with Justin McBride at 27 and Mason Williams at 24. Kansas spread it out: Tyran Stokes and Taylen Kinney played 21 each and Melvin Council Jr. 20.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. Kansas is -245, best at Polymarket, so a $100 bet profits $40.82 if Kansas wins. Kentucky is +230, best at Courtside, so $100 profits $230.00 if Kentucky wins. The spread is a bet on the margin. Kansas -5.5 at -108 (Courtside) wins only if Kansas wins by 6 or more. A 5-point win loses.
Kentucky +5.5 at -108 (Courtside) wins if Kentucky wins outright or loses by 5 or fewer. The half point means no push (a tie that refunds your bet). The total is 155.5 combined points, with the Over and Under each -108 at Courtside. Shopping matters: books opened anywhere from -5.5 (DraftKings) to +5.5 (Fanatics), an 11-point gap, and DraftKings moved first, -5.5 to +5.5 at 4:15 AM ET, with 3 books following within 10 minutes.
Every price has a break-even, the win rate you need just to not lose money. Kansas at -245 needs 71%. The market's no-vig read (its probability with the bookmaker's cut, the vig, removed) is 71.7%. Expected value is an average over many bets, not what you win on one ticket. Only one price on this board clears its break-even, and it is thin.
Kansas Jayhawks moneyline at -245 at Polymarket. This is Desk analysis, not an official play. The edge is small, so the number is everything. A steeper price raises the break-even past the market's read, so we pass at anything worse than -245.
We see Kansas grinding out a 79-74 win. That adds up to 153 points, under the 155.5 total, though we are not betting the total. A 5-point margin would lose Kansas -5.5 and cash Kentucky +5.5, which is exactly why our lean lives on the moneyline and nowhere else. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Kansas is the market favorite at -233 (best price at Polymarket) on the moneyline, with Kentucky at +230. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Kansas vs Kentucky airs on ESPN. The game is played at the United Center, a neutral site, so neither the Kansas Jayhawks nor the Kentucky Wildcats are at home. Tip-off is Tuesday, November 10 at 9:30 PM ET.
The Kansas Jayhawks are the favorite at -245 on the moneyline (best at Polymarket), and the Kentucky Wildcats are the underdog at +230 (best at Courtside). With the vig removed, the market reads Kansas at about 72% and Kentucky at about 28%.
The Kansas Jayhawks and Kentucky Wildcats tip off Tuesday, November 10, 2026 at 9:30 PM Eastern time at the United Center. The game is broadcast on ESPN.
The market prices the Kansas Jayhawks as a 72% favorite, and the -245 at Polymarket pays just enough above its break-even for a thin lean on Kansas to win outright. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 155.5, with the over priced at -108 at Courtside and the under at -108 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
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