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Kalshi and Polymarket list this game, but not enough has traded yet to show the buyers (we show markets with at least 10 trades and $500 traded).
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Chicago State Cougars | Loyola Marymount Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Total 141.5 | O -115Bet at theScore Bet → | U -105Bet at theScore Bet → |
As of 7:05 PM ET, with 3 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Chicago State ML | Loyola Marymount ML | Chicago State spread | Loyola Marymount spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | – | – | +16.5 -110 | -16.5 -110 | O 141.5 -115 | U 141.5 -105 |
| Fanatics | +1300 | -2500 | – | – | – | – |
| ProphetX | +820 | -2700 | – | – | – | – |
Prices from 3 sportsbooks we track, updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Zion Sensley (LMU)17.8 PPG (4 GP)
Mike Price (CHST)22.0 PPG (4 GP)Loyola Marymount has failed to cover in all three of its graded games this season, and it was the favorite in all three. (Covering means beating the point margin the betting market sets, not just winning.) Now the Chicago State Cougars come to Gersten Pavilion with a guard scoring 22.0 points per game. The schedule adds a twist. Chicago State gets one day of rest, plays game three of a road trip and traveled 111 miles from San Diego. The Loyola Marymount Lions get two days of rest but just flew 1,824 miles home from Pensacola, crossing two time zones west.
It is early. Both teams are four games into the season, with Chicago State at 2-2 and Loyola Marymount at 1-3. Four games is too few to call anything form. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results, gives Loyola Marymount a 66% chance to win and Chicago State 34%. That is context, not a bet. Its games went over the total (the combined points line) three times in four. Loyola Marymount is 0-3 against the spread, all as the favorite, and 2-1 on the over-under in three games. These samples are tiny. Treat them as trivia, not trends.
Mike Price drives Chicago State at 22.0 points per game over four games. He played 26 minutes last game and 56 over the past seven days. Zion Sensley leads Loyola Marymount at 17.8 points per game over four games. He carries a heavier load, with 36 minutes last game and 70 over seven days. Jasai Miles (33 minutes) and Jevon Porter (31) also logged big minutes for the Lions last time out. Kameron Foman (28) and Will Lovings-Watts (27) did the same for the Cougars.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. The spread is a handicap, so the favorite must win by more than the posted number. The total is a bet on combined points. Every price includes vig, the bookmaker's built-in fee. That is why shopping several books for the best number matters every time. The per-game averages frame the matchup.
Loyola Marymount scores 40 points in the paint per game, and Chicago State allows 29. The Lions also grab 40.25 rebounds per game to the Cougars' 33.25. Chicago State turns it over 15.75 times per game versus 9.25 for Loyola Marymount. Over the last 10 stored games, the Lions score 111.9 points per 100 possessions and the Cougars score 101.8.
Value means getting a price that pays more than the risk deserves., we will strip out the vig to find the no-vig number. That is the market-implied probability with the fee removed. Expected value is what a $100 bet would average over many repeats. We cannot put a dollar figure on it until a price exists. Our read is that Loyola Marymount's inside scoring, rebounding and ball security are real edges in this Loyola Marymount vs Chicago State matchup. That 0-3 mark as a favorite is a small sample. Still, it is a reminder that laying a big number is a different bet from simply backing the Lions to win.
We lean Loyola Marymount to win, and we call it a matchup lean.
Our Chicago State vs Loyola Marymount prediction leans on the Lions' size. They control the paint and the boards, and Chicago State's turnovers hand them extra possessions. Price keeps it respectable, but we project Loyola Marymount 75, Chicago State 67 (142 combined points). Tip-off is Sunday, November 15 at 4:00 PM ET on ESPN+. That is our read before the market speaks; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.
Loyola Marymount's edge inside and on the glass gives us a matchup lean on the Lions, but the price has to be right it.
Sportsbooks had not posted odds as of November 13, so there is no market favorite yet. For context, our Elo-based rating gives Loyola Marymount a 66% chance to win and Chicago State 34%. That rating is background information, not a bet.
The Chicago State Cougars and Loyola Marymount Lions tip off on Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET at Gersten Pavilion. The game streams on ESPN+.
Loyola Marymount's edge inside and on the glass gives us a matchup lean on the Lions, but the price has to be right it. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 141.5, with the over priced at -115 at theScore Bet and the under at -105 at theScore Bet. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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