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Chicago State Cougars play at San Diego Toreros in college basketball on Friday, November 13, at Jenny Craig Pavilion. As of 6:32 PM ET, San Diego are 16.5-point favorites and the total is 140.5. Prices come from 12 sportsbooks we track. The Desk leans Under 148.5.
Prices updated · from 12 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
Latest since this preview was written: spread now Toreros -16.5, was Toreros -14.5; total now 140.5, was 148.5.
DraftKings bettors lean San Diego on the moneyline (95% of tickets).
| Book | BetsChicago St +16San Diego -16 | MoneyChicago St +16San Diego -16 |
|---|---|---|
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) |
| Book | BetsChicago St (+1000)San Diego (-1800) | MoneyChicago St (+1000)San Diego (-1800) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 141.5Under 141.5 | MoneyOver 141.5Under 141.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) |
Splits data from DraftKings and Circa. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Chicago State Cougars | San Diego Toreros |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +16 | -16 |
| Total 141.5 | O | U |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. Each line shows the share of dollars and trades buyers put on each side. Lines with under 10 trades or $500 are left out. Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
| Market | Chicago State Cougars | San Diego Toreros |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +16.5 +102Bet at Novig → exchange price | -16.5 -103Bet at Courtside → |
| Total 140.5 | O -108Bet at Novig → exchange price | U +100Bet at Novig → exchange price |
As of 6:32 PM ET, the spread is San Diego -16.5 and the total is 140.5, with 12 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Chicago State ML | San Diego ML | Chicago State spread | San Diego spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +1100 | -2500 | +16.5 -110 | -16.5 -110 | O 140.5 -110 | U 140.5 -110 |
| Novig | +1233 | -1438 | +16.5 +102 | -16.5 -108 | O 140.5 -108 | U 140.5 +100 |
| ProphetX | +1150 | -1400 | +16.5 -107 | -16.5 -108 | O 140.5 -125 | U 140.5 -104 |
| BetMGM | +950 | -2000 | +16.5 -110 | -16.5 -110 | – | – |
| Courtside | +1064 | -1635 | +16.5 -113 | -16.5 -103 | – | – |
| DraftKings | +1000 | -1800 | +16.5 -115 | -16.5 -105 | – | – |
| Fanatics | +1000 | -1800 | – | – | O 140.5 -115 | U 140.5 -105 |
| Bally Bet | +900 | -2500 | – | – | – | – |
| betPARX | +900 | -2500 | – | – | – | – |
| BetRivers | +900 | -2500 | – | – | – | – |
Prices from 12 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Dusty Stromer (USD)15.0 PPG (3 GP)
Mike Price (CHST)22.0 PPG (4 GP)The betting market gives the Chicago State Cougars about a 10% chance to win in San Diego. Our rating, a simple Elo model built on stored results, has them at 36%. That is a big gap. It is exactly the kind of tension worth slowing down for before Friday's 9:30 PM ET tip against the San Diego Toreros at Jenny Craig Pavilion, streaming on ESPN+. A gap like that does not automatically mean a bet. It means the price deserves a closer look, and the closer look tells a different story.
San Diego is favored, and by a lot. It is very early in the season. Chicago State is 2-2 four games in, and San Diego is 2-1 three games in. That is too small a sample to call form either way. The schedule details say more. San Diego gets two days of rest but traveled 831 miles from Boulder and crossed one time zone west. Chicago State has one day of rest and is on game two of a road trip, coming just 86 miles from Riverside with no time-zone change. Neither team is on a back-to-back. Chicago State's latest headline was an 81-62 win over Cal Baptist.
Mike Price leads Chicago State at 22.0 points per game over four games. Kameron Foman (28 minutes) and Will Lovings-Watts (27) logged the heaviest minutes in Chicago State's last game, with Price at 26. For San Diego, Dusty Stromer averages 15.0 points per game over three games. That is a small sample, so treat it as a first glimpse, not a habit. He played 34 minutes last game and 73 over the past seven days, the heaviest seven-day load listed for either team. Jevon Hill is coming off a 20-point game, per the pregame headlines, and played 29 minutes last time out.
Start with the moneyline, a bet on who wins outright. Chicago State is +750 at Fanatics, so a $100 bet profits $750 if the Cougars win. No San Diego moneyline is posted at the books we track. Next is the point spread, a handicap that evens out the matchup. Chicago State +14.5 wins if the Cougars win or lose by 14 or fewer. San Diego -14.5 needs a win by 15 or more. A half point means no tie is possible.
Both sides are -108 at Courtside, so $100 risked profits $92.59. That shortfall from even money is the vig, the house's cut. The spread opened at 14 and moved to 14.5, a slightly better number for anyone holding the underdog. Finally, the total is a bet on combined points. It sits at 148.5 after opening at 148. The best Over is -108 at Courtside and the best Under is -110 at theScore Bet. Shop every time. The same bet costs more at some books than others.
Break-even is the win rate a bet needs just to tie over time. Chicago State's +750 needs 11.8%. Our rating's 36% is context only, and we will not build a ticket on it. The spread is a coin flip in the market's eyes. Expected value is the average result over many repeats, and every side here is negative. That leaves the total, where we hold a matchup opinion.
Over the last 10 stored games, Chicago State played at 65.2 possessions per game and scored 101.8 points per 100 possessions. San Diego sits at 67.7 and 109.3. Neither team pushes the pace, and simple math on those rates lands near 140 points. The Under at -110 needs 52.4%. We have no no-vig number for the total, so this is a lean, not a proven edge. Chicago State's 3-1 over-under record across four games points the other way, a tiny sample but a reason to keep the stake small.
Under 148.5 at -110 at theScore Bet. A $100 bet profits $90.91 if it wins and loses $100 if it does not. It needs to cash 52.4% of the time to break even, and it is a matchup lean built on tempo.
Our Chicago State vs San Diego prediction is a half-court game. San Diego vs Chicago State should come down to which team gets clean looks inside, since neither side has shown much interest in running. We see San Diego 76, Chicago State 65. That adds up to 141, under the 148.5 total, with San Diego winning by 11. That is the read on this number. The Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
The market prices San Diego as a heavy favorite, every side grades negative, and our matchup lean is the Under 148.5 on tempo.
Chicago State vs San Diego streams on ESPN+. The game tips off Friday, November 13, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET at Jenny Craig Pavilion, where the San Diego Toreros host the Chicago State Cougars.
Tip-off is Friday, November 13, 2026 at 9:30 PM ET at Jenny Craig Pavilion. The game streams on ESPN+, and the total is set at 148.5 points across the books we track.
The market prices San Diego as a heavy favorite, every side grades negative, and our matchup lean is the Under 148.5 on tempo. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 140.5, with the over priced at -108 at Novig and the under at +100 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
The spread opened Toreros -14 and is now -14.5; the total moved from 148 to 148.5.
As of Nov 13, 12:02 AM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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