Sports betting has exploded in popularity, but the reality remains the same: 99% of sports bettors lose money long term. The difference between consistent winners and those who burn through their accounts comes down to discipline, not luck. At the Wise Guy Team, we’ve built a proven system that prioritizes bankroll preservation, value hunting, and avoiding the traps that sports books love to set. If you’re serious about turning betting into a profitable edge, these rules are non-negotiable. This is the only way for you to join the 1% of sports bettors who win long term, to make money every year, and to build generational wealth for your family.
No Parlays Unless We Explicitly Recommend Them
Parlays look tempting with their multiplied payouts, but they dramatically increase the house edge and variance. The math is unforgiving: each additional leg compounds the risk while eroding your expected value. We only include parlays in our picks when the combined probability and odds create clear positive EV, which is rare.
If we don’t call for a parlay, placing one on your own is the equivalent of losing your hard earned money on purpose. It’s not strategic betting; it’s chasing highs at the expense of sustainability. Rogue parlays feed the books’ profits and destroy bankrolls faster than almost anything else. We say this directly: don’t do it. We’re here to help clients build extra income for their families through smart, repeatable edges, not to watch anyone lose on purpose.
Follow Our Bankroll Management System Precisely
Our 0.25-10 unit structure is designed for longevity. Risk of ruin drops near zero when you treat your bankroll like investment capital, not play money.
Click Here to Read our Bankroll Management System
Key principles:
- 1 unit equals 1% of your current bankroll (e.g., $10,000 bankroll means $100 per unit, $5,000 bankroll means $50 per unit, etc).
- Split Bankroll across as many accounts as possible to access better lines.
No chasing losses. No ramping up during hot streaks. No emotional overrides. This system survives variance because it’s rooted in math, not momentum. Deviate even slightly, and you’re undermining the entire approach.
If Your Bankroll Is $10,000 or More
You follow my bets exactly.
You are mirrored to me.
If Your Bankroll Is $5,000
You halve every bet.
1 Unit = $50
2 Units = $100
5 Units = $250
10 Units = $500
etc. etc.
Same picks. Same ratings. Same math.
If Your Bankroll Is $2,500
You quarter every bet.
1 Unit = $25
2 Units = $50
5 Units = $125
10 Units = $250
etc. etc.
Perfect alignment. Reduced exposure.
If Your Bankroll Is $1,000
You bet one-tenth of what I do.
1 Unit = $10
2 Units = $20
5 Units = $50
10 Units = $100
etc. etc.
*$1,000 is the smallest bankroll where the system works exactly as designed.
*If you’re working with less than $1,000, you could technically bet $1 a unit, but at that point you’d be grinding pennies and wondering why you even opened the app. It would also be tough to cover the cost of the service, and as the old saying goes, it takes money to make money is annoying but unfortunately very real. We don’t perform miracles, we don’t own a crystal ball, and this isn’t Hogwarts School of Sports Betting. You also wouldn’t call a stockbroker and say, “Hey, build me a long-term investment plan, I’ve got $137 and a dream.” Same logic applies here. This system is built to grow money responsibly, not turn spare change into a private jet overnight.
Line Shop Obsessively: Always Take the Best Number
A half-point or better juice can add thousands to your bottom line over a year. Professional bettors never settle for the first line they see.
It is always recommended that you maintain accounts with all legal sportsbooks and all major betting exchanges, split your bankroll evenly across all accounts, and always place each pick at the book offering the best price. Line shopping is not optional. It is one of the largest edges available to winning bettors.
For example, my current $10,000 bankroll is split evenly across seven platforms, including four legal U.S. sports books and three betting exchanges:
Legal US Books:
DraftKings
BetMGM
Legal US Exchanges:
NoVig
Kalshi
ProphetX
I do not use offshore sportsbooks for any reason, and I would never recommend them to anyone under any circumstances.
Because I’ve won long term, I am currently limited to a $1,000 maximum bet on all four legal sports books, which is why my largest wager is capped at a 10 unit play.
While betting exchanges do not impose limits on winning players, wagers on exchanges are constrained by available market liquidity, meaning you can only bet what other participants are willing to take at that price.
I no longer use Caesars or theScore Bet due to being banned for winning. I also use Fanatics only for 0.25 unit bets, as my maximum wager there is limited to $10-25.
Important Note: Pay close attention to our betting tickets: we frequently use alternate spreads to optimize edges, whether buying points for safety or pushing lines for improved payouts when data supports it. Copy the exact line, odds, and rationale we provide.
Skipping this step leaves money on the table.
If You Can’t Commit Fully, Step Away
This is said with respect and care: If you cannot follow our picks and bankroll rules exactly, sports betting may not be the right pursuit for you. If you can’t be disciplined enough to follow both our picks and bankroll rules you will lose your hard-earned money and we don’t want anyone to lose money. The whole reason I do this is to help you make extra money for your family. This is why we teach you how to win long term, but you must be a disciplined person or at least work hard on your discipline.
The only reliable path to profits is adhering 100% to both our selections and money management. Anything less, including unauthorized parlays, skipping the masterclass, or falling for bookmaker gimmicks, turns betting into a guaranteed waste of your hard earned money. We don’t want to partner with clients who lose intentionally. Our mission is to deliver real extra family supporting income through disciplined professional sports betting.
We historically make more money during the NBA playoffs and March Madness than at any other time of the year. Right now, in this high volume, high edge window, you can make a ton of money, but only if you follow our system exactly. No shortcuts. No exceptions. Triple check every play against our rules, lock in the best lines, and scale your units precisely. Do that and this stretch becomes your biggest payday of the entire calendar year as long as you have access to all the programs and absolutely all the picks that we offer. Every single program we offer has made money every single year so you’ll make the most money by having access to everything and every program that we offer.
Ready to bet smarter? Review the full bankroll system again, study our masterclass again, and follow the rules without exception. Make sure you have access to all of our picks, programs, and everything we offer. It’s also designed to make more money for you and your family.
Thank you for being a valuable member of the Wise Guy Team Family. You are part of the elite 1% of professional sharp sports bettors who print money every single year and build real generational wealth for their families
Click Here to Read our Entire Master Class Series
Discipline wins. Shortcuts lose. Bet Smart and Win Forever.
