The market read: Felix Auger-Aliassime is the favorite at -910, with Rinky Hijikata at +720 at the US Open. Top listed price at publish; the full pick and reasoning are below.
Rinky Hijikata vs Felix Auger-Aliassime: odds, trends and our lean
| Player | Listed price |
|---|---|
| Rinky Hijikata | +720 |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | -910 |
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The top price our odds feed listed among the US sportsbooks it covers at publish; shop the line before you bet. New to this? How to bet on tennis.
The Hook
Some matches are puzzles. This one, according to the betting market, is closer to a stated conclusion. Rinky Hijikata and Felix Auger-Aliassime meet at the US Open on August 31, 2026, on hard court, and the prices are lopsided enough that the interesting question is not who wins. It is whether either number is worth your money. That is a different question, and it is the one that separates bettors from fans.
The Matchup
Auger-Aliassime is the priced favorite by a wide margin, which tells you the market views him as the bigger, more complete weapon set in this spot. Hijikata is cast in the underdog role, the player who has to problem-solve, extend rallies and hope the favorite's level dips. We are not going to invent head-to-head history or past results here, because none were provided. What we can read is the price, and the price implies a lopsided expectation: roughly a nine-in-ten chance for Auger-Aliassime and roughly one-in-eight for Hijikata.
How They Are Priced
The moneyline is simply the bet on who wins the match. Tennis has no point spread, so this is the core market. Hijikata is +720, best available at BetRivers. A plus number tells you what you win on a 100 dollar stake, so +720 returns 720 dollars in profit plus your stake back. That converts to about a 12 percent implied win chance (implied chance is just the odds translated into a percentage).
Auger-Aliassime is -910. A minus number tells you what you must risk to win 100 dollars, so -910 means laying 910 to win 100. That is roughly a 90 percent implied chance. Add both together and you get about 102 percent, and that extra 2 percent is the house margin, known as the vig.
The Surface and Conditions
Hard court is a neutral, true-bouncing surface that generally rewards first-strike tennis. Big serving matters more here than on clay, because the ball skids through and points end faster. Clean, flat groundstrokes and the ability to take time away from an opponent tend to travel well. Grinders can still win on hard court, but they usually have to earn it over more shots and more time. In general terms, a heavy serve plus aggressive court positioning is the profile hard court flatters most.
Where the Value Is
In odds terms, that is roughly -740 and +740. Expected value simply means the long-run average profit or loss of a bet. Neither side is a bargain today.
The Pick
The Wise Guy Desk read is Auger-Aliassime to win, but only if you can find a number better than roughly -740. If a book posts Hijikata at +800 or longer, that dog becomes the more defensible small-stake ticket.
The Prediction
Expect Auger-Aliassime to serve well and control the first strike. Projected scoreline: Auger-Aliassime in straight sets, 6-4, 7-6, 6-3.
FAQ
Who is favored in Rinky Hijikata vs Felix Auger-Aliassime?
Felix Auger-Aliassime is the market favorite at -910. Rinky Hijikata pays +720 as the underdog. Prices move up to the first serve, so always confirm the current number at your book.
What are the odds for Rinky Hijikata vs Felix Auger-Aliassime?
The top price our odds feed listed at publish: Rinky Hijikata +720, Felix Auger-Aliassime -910 on the match winner (moneyline). Tennis has no point spread - the main markets are the match winner, set handicap, and total games.
Is there a free pick for Rinky Hijikata vs Felix Auger-Aliassime?
Yes - the Wise Guy Desk's free prediction and pick, with the reasoning, is in the article above. It is free editorial analysis, separate from Ross's documented member plays.
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