Six Games, Zero Wins, One Fresh Start
As of publication, the Los Angeles Kings have played six games and have not won any of them. Zero and four and two. Meanwhile the New York Islanders have banked nine standings points in eight games. One of those two teams has to look different Thursday night, and bettors have to decide which one. Kings vs Islanders goes Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET from UBS Arena, and no prices are posted yet, which means the sharpest work you can do right now happens before the number exists.
The Matchup
A quick translation of those hockey records. The three numbers are wins, regulation losses, and overtime or shootout losses. A win is two standings points, an overtime or shootout loss is one, a regulation loss is zero. So Los Angeles, at 0-4-2 as of publication, has two points from six games. New York, at 4-3-1, has nine points from eight.
Los Angeles also sits eighth of eight in the Pacific Division as of publication. The season series between these clubs starts on October 22, so there is no head to head data to lean on yet. That matters: everything you price here comes from form, roster health, and home ice, not from history between the two.
Players to Watch
Bo Horvat leads the Islanders with nine points (a point is a goal or an assist). On a team with nine standings points in eight games, that is a real engine, and he is the first name opposing coaches game plan against. For Los Angeles, the scoring leader is Brandt Clarke with five. Clarke is a defenseman, and when your defenseman tops the list, it usually tells you the forward group is not finishing. That is the single cleanest read in this entire brief, and it is the reason the Kings are still looking for win number one.
The Numbers
There is no posted price for this game yet, so we will not quote one. Here is how to read it the moment it lands. The moneyline is a bet on who simply wins the game, overtime and shootout included. A minus number is the favorite and shows what you risk to win $100. A plus number is the underdog and shows what $100 risked returns in profit.
The puck line is hockey's spread, almost always 1.5 goals, and it is a different bet with a different payoff and a different break-even rate. Never use a moneyline read to justify a puck line ticket. The total is the combined goals by both teams, and you bet over or under. One habit beats every handicap: check three or four books before you click, because a half-goal or ten cents of price is real money over a season.
Where the Value Is
Without a posted price, the honest version of value work is this. Convert the price to an implied probability (the win rate you need just to break even), then compare it to your own read. The no-vig number, which is the market probability with the bookmaker's cut removed, is your fair reference point. If the Islanders come back shorter than their form and health justify, the value flips to Los Angeles as a live dog. Our read: a team scoring from the blue line, missing bodies, and winless in six is the softer side here, and New York at home is where we lean.
Injuries
The Islanders list three names: Calum Ritchie out, Matias Maccelli out, and Alexander Romanov on injured reserve. The Kings also list three: Alex Turcotte, Mats Zuccarello, and Jakub Dvorak, all on injured reserve. Six names total, split evenly, but the Kings are absorbing theirs while already failing to score.
The Pick
The Desk leans New York Islanders to win the game. Prices are not posted, so take the best number across your books when it opens, and pass if New York gets bet too short. This is Desk analysis, not an official documented play.
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The Prediction
Islanders 4, Kings 2. Horvat's line gets on the board first, Los Angeles presses, and the gap in finishing shows up in the third period at UBS Arena. In the Islanders vs Kings rematch later this season the Kings may be healthier, but not Thursday. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.
Kings vs Islanders FAQ
Who is favored in Kings vs Islanders?
Los Angeles is still searching for win number one, and the Desk leans to the Islanders at home at whatever number opens best.
Who will win Islanders vs Kings?
Los Angeles is still searching for win number one, and the Desk leans to the Islanders at home at whatever number opens best. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
Are these NHL picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NHL games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.