Three Regulation Losses, And A Visitor Who Never Gets To Overtime
Dallas has been beaten in regulation three times in eleven games. Columbus has played nine games and every single one of them ended in regulation, win or lose, with no overtime point banked along the way. That is the quiet tension in Blue Jackets vs Stars on Halloween night: one team that keeps finding a way to stay in games, and one team that lives and dies inside sixty minutes. Saturday, October 31, 2026, 8:00 PM ET, American Airlines Center.
The Matchup
As of this writing on October 26, the Columbus Blue Jackets are 4-5-0 and the Dallas Stars are 7-3-1. Hockey records read as three numbers: wins, regulation losses, then losses that came in overtime or a shootout. So Columbus has four wins and five regulation losses in nine games. Dallas has seven wins, three regulation losses and one overtime loss in eleven games.
Dallas is listed third of eight in the Central Division. These are the records at publication, not final figures for game night, and both clubs will play more hockey before puck drop. The season series between the two starts with this game, so there is no head to head result from this year to lean on. Stars vs Blue Jackets begins fresh.
Players to Watch
Mikko Rantanen leads Dallas with 14 points in 11 games played, which is 1.3 per game. Charlie Coyle leads Columbus with 8 points in 9 games played, which is 0.9 per game. The two have not played the same number of games, so the honest comparison is the per game rate, not the raw totals: 1.3 against 0.9. That gap is small in absolute terms and large over a season. In a low scoring sport where a single goal decides most nights, the team whose best producer is generating more per outing has a thinner margin to protect.
The Numbers
Odds are not posted for this game yet, so there is nothing honest to quote. Here is what will appear and what each piece means. The moneyline is a straight bet on who wins the game, overtime and shootout included. The puck line is hockey's spread, almost always set at 1.5 goals: back the favorite at minus 1.5 and they must win by two or more, back the underdog at plus 1.5 and they can lose by exactly one and your ticket still cashes.
The total, also called over/under, is the combined goals both teams score, and you pick whether the real number lands above or below it. Baked into every one of those prices is the vig, the book's built in commission, which is why the two sides of a market always add up to more than 100 percent. When the numbers do post, compare the same bet at multiple books. On a one goal sport, a few cents of price is the whole edge.
Where the Value Is
It is the market implied probability with the vig removed, not the real odds and not a truth. Expected value is simply what a wager is worth on average per $100 risked once you weigh the payout against the chance of winning. If your read on the game is stronger than the chance priced into the number, the bet is working for you. Our read is that Dallas is the side worth monitoring: a deeper form line over eleven games, home ice, and the better per game producer in Rantanen.
Injuries
Dallas carries five names on the report: Radek Faksa (day to day), Sam Steel (day to day), Oskar Back (injured reserve), Esa Lindell (injured reserve) and Matt Duchene (injured reserve). That is real depth erosion, most of it down the middle, with Lindell out on the back end. Day to day means uncertain, nothing more. No Columbus designations were provided, so we claim none.
The Pick
Desk lean: Stars moneyline. No price exists yet, so there is no best book to name. When the market opens, shop it and take the cheapest version of that ticket you can find. This is Wise Guy Desk analysis, not an official documented play.
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The Prediction
Dallas 4, Columbus 2. The Stars have been the steadier team through eleven games, they are home, and Columbus has shown no ability this year to salvage a point in extra time. The injury list is the one genuine brake on this lean, and if the number opens short, the price stops being worth it. That is the read on this matchup; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.
Jackets vs Stars FAQ
Who is favored in Jackets vs Stars?
Dallas has lost in regulation just three times in eleven games, and the Desk leans Stars at home on Halloween night once prices post.
Who will win Stars vs Jackets?
Dallas has lost in regulation just three times in eleven games, and the Desk leans Stars at home on Halloween night once prices post. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
Are these NHL picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NHL games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.