Two Teams, Same Points, Very Different Paths
Through eight games each, the New York Islanders are 4-3-1 and the Nashville Predators are 3-2-3 as of this writing on October 20. Count the points and they match: nine apiece. The difference is how they got there. Nashville has lost three games past regulation, meaning three nights they were still tied when the horn sounded and walked away with one point instead of two. That is the profile of a team living in one-goal games. The Islanders, meanwhile, come to Bridgestone Arena on Tuesday, October 27, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET with three names on the shelf. Those two facts do most of the work in this matchup.
The Matchup
Islanders vs Predators is the first meeting of the year between these clubs, with the season series starting on 10/27. The Predators sit 6th of 8 in the Central Division. The Islanders arrive at 4-3-1, which in hockey shorthand means four regulation or overtime wins, three regulation losses, and one loss that came after regulation (still worth a point in the standings). Nashville's 3-2-3 reads the same way: three wins, two regulation losses, three post-regulation losses. Flip it to Predators vs Islanders from the home side and you get a team that has not been beaten badly, just beaten late.
Players to Watch
Steven Stamkos leads Nashville with 10 points, the most on the roster. A point is a goal or an assist, so Stamkos has had a hand in ten Predators goals. Bo Horvat tops the Islanders at 9. When a single veteran forward carries the scoring load by that margin, a team's offense tends to run hot and cold with his line. Watch which defensive pair each coach sends out against the other's top center. That matchup, more than any team stat, usually decides a 2-1 or 3-2 game.
The Numbers
Odds are not posted for this game yet, so we will not quote prices we do not have. Here is what to read when they land. The moneyline is a straight bet on who wins the game, overtime and shootout included. The puck line is hockey's spread, almost always 1.5 goals, so the favorite must win by two or more and the underdog can lose by exactly one and still cash. The total (also called over/under) is the combined goals by both teams.
Every price carries the vig, the book's built-in cut, which is why the two sides never add up to a clean 100 percent. Strip the vig out and you get the market-implied probability, not a market-implied probability, just what the market says with the house edge removed. And prices differ book to book. A half-cent of difference on a moneyline is real money over a season, so compare every book before you commit.
Where the Value Is
We like Nashville here, with a condition attached. Three overtime losses say the Predators are close to even in tight games, and they get home ice plus a healthier lineup. If the market prices them near even or better, that is where the Desk sees the edge. If they open as a heavy favorite, the edge disappears fast, because expected value (what a bet is worth on average per dollar risked) is a function of price, not just who is better. No price, no play.
Injuries
Nashville lists one name: Mavrik Bourque, day-to-day. The Islanders list three: Calum Ritchie out, Matias Maccelli out, and Alexander Romanov on injured reserve. Romanov is a defenseman, and losing a blueliner thins the minutes that matter most in a one-goal road game. Three names against one is a real gap, and final designations will come on game day, Tuesday the 27th.
The Pick
Desk lean: Nashville Predators moneyline, taken at the best price available across books once the market opens. This is desk analysis, not an official documented play.
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The Prediction
Predators 3, Islanders 2, decided late, the way most of Nashville's nights have gone. Stamkos finds the scoresheet, Horvat answers, and the home side gets the last shift it needs. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.
Islanders vs Predators FAQ
Who is favored in Islanders vs Predators?
Two teams with identical point totals meet in Nashville, and the Desk leans Predators moneyline once the number posts, at the best price you can find.
Who will win Predators vs Islanders?
Two teams with identical point totals meet in Nashville, and the Desk leans Predators moneyline once the number posts, at the best price you can find. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
Are these NHL picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NHL games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.