📊 Team Breakdown archived pregame data
Los Angeles DodgersColorado Rockies
Last 5 games (newest first)
Los Angeles DodgersWLLWW
Colorado RockiesWLWLLRuns scored vs allowed, last 5
Los Angeles Dodgers24 for · 22 against Colorado Rockies30 for · 34 against Pregame chance to win, per the betting market
Pregame chance to win, per ESPN's computer model
Standings & streak
Los Angeles Dodgers1st NL West · W2 Colorado Rockies5th NL West · 25.5 GB · L2 How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, so it is the market's honest opinion. When that number and ESPN's model disagree, one of them is wrong, and that gap is where value lives.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A
moneyline bet is picking who wins the game, nothing else. In this game, +175 means a $100 bet profits $175 if it wins. -190 means you risk $190 to profit $100, that's the favorite. The
run line is baseball's point spread, almost always 1.5 runs. The
total is a bet on combined runs by both teams, over or under the books' number.
+EV (positive expected value) means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (the line with the vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn the full system free:
Sports Betting 101 ·
Think Like the Book ·
Odds converter ·
No-vig calculator
First Place Meets Last Place, With a Coors Field Twist
On paper this looks lopsided. The Dodgers lead the NL West at 76-51. The Rockies sit dead last at 50-76, a full 25.5 games behind them. But this game is at Coors Field, the highest-scoring ballpark in baseball, and the pitching matchup is messier than the standings suggest. When the market prices a game like a mismatch and the underlying numbers push back a little, that is exactly where a disciplined bettor slows down and looks closer.
The Matchup
Los Angeles comes in on a two-game win streak, going 3-2 over its last five while scoring 24 runs and allowing 22. Colorado has lost two straight and is 2-3 in its last five, though the bats have been alive, scoring 30 runs in that stretch while giving up 34. The Dodgers have taken both meetings in the season series so far, 2-0. So the form lines say the favorite is winning, but both teams are trading crooked numbers, which matters a lot in this ballpark.
Pitching Matchup
Starters drive baseball prices more than anything else, because the man on the mound for the first five or six innings shapes the whole game. That night it is Roki Sasaki (5-5, 4.46 ERA) for Los Angeles against Kyle Freeland (4-10, 6.27 ERA) for Colorado. Neither number is pretty. Sasaki has been roughly league average by results, and now he pitches at altitude, where breaking balls flatten out. Freeland's 6.27 ERA is the reason Colorado is such a long underdog, but he is the home team's most familiar hand at Coors. This is not an ace duel. It is two vulnerable starters in a hitter's park.
The Numbers
The moneyline, which is simply a bet on who wins the game, has the Dodgers at -190 at Caesars, meaning you risk $190 to win $100. Colorado is +175 at BetRivers, so a $100 bet returns $175 in profit if the Rockies win. The run line is baseball's point spread: the Dodgers -1.5 at -125 (Fanatics) must win by two or more runs, while Colorado +1.5 at +110 (Caesars) cashes if the Rockies win outright or lose by exactly one.
The total is 11.5, meaning books expect roughly 11 or 12 runs, and you bet whether the actual score lands over or under it. The over is +100 at Caesars (even money) and the under is -114 at DraftKings. Note that the best price on each side lives at a different book. Shopping across sportsbooks for the best number is the single easiest edge any bettor has, and it is ours.
Conditions & Injuries
It is 87 degrees at Coors Field with an 8 mph wind, warm air in a park where the ball already flies. Colorado is without Tyler Freeman (10-day IL), Jaden Hill (15-day IL) and Kyle Karros (7-day IL). Los Angeles has Hunter Feduccia day to day, with Ben Casparius (60-day IL) and Brock Stewart (15-day IL) out of the bullpen picture.
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Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies FAQ
Who is favored in Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies?
Los Angeles Dodgers is the market favorite at -190 (best price at Caesars) on the moneyline, with Colorado Rockies at +175. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Are these Wise Guy Team picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown - our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value?
Expected value first - the best price across the books versus the true fair price - then sharp-money confirmation from the betting splits. EV-primary, sharp-confirmed.
What is the total (over/under) for Los Angeles Dodgers vs Colorado Rockies?
The total is 11.5, with the over priced at +100 at Caesars and the under at -114 at DraftKings. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
