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No Kalshi or Polymarket market with stored trading is on file for this game, so there is no exchange buyer data to show.
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. Polymarket US does not publish trades, so it shows prices only and no buyer split is drawn. It is a separate venue from Polymarket and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Youngstown State Penguins | St. Bonaventure Bonnies |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +440Bet at FanDuel → | -483Bet at Courtside → |
| Spread | +10.5 -104Bet at Novig → exchange price | -10.5 -104Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Total 153.5 | O -104Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -103Bet at Courtside → |
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
The betting market gives St. Bonaventure about an 83% chance to win this game. Our own rating says 65%. That gap is the tension in Youngstown State vs St. Bonaventure, and it is worth a bettor's attention. The Youngstown State Penguins visit the St. Bonaventure Bonnies at the Reilly Center on Monday, November 2, at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The market has already been busy. The spread moved from 10 to 10.5, and the total climbed from 151 to 153.5. Let's sort out what the prices really say.
St. Bonaventure is favored at -483, and Youngstown State is the underdog at +440. Both teams are 0-0. Neither team has played a game yet, so this is as early as a season gets. The last meeting was 352 days ago, and St. Bonaventure won it. Over their last 10 stored games, the two teams look like mirror images.
Youngstown State played at 67.7 possessions per game (a possession is one trip down the floor) and scored 110.4 points per 100 possessions. St. Bonaventure played at 67.6 and scored 111. Our rating (an Elo model built on past results) has St. Bonaventure at 65% to win. That is context, not a bet.
Our data lists six names. It does not tag which roster each player belongs to, so we will not guess. Frank Mitchell averaged 17.2 points and 10.6 rebounds over his last five stored games (17.2 and 11.4 over ten), in 36.2 minutes. Darryl Simmons II scored 15.2 per game over his last five (16.6 over ten).
Cayden Charles put up 14.4 points and 6.8 rebounds over his last five (12.9 and 6.9 over ten). Dasonte Bowen scored 12.2 over his last five (12.7 over ten) and played 38.8 minutes a night. Andrew Osasuyi posted 4.4 points and 4.2 rebounds over his last five, and Joe Grahovac posted 1.8 points and 2.6 rebounds over his last five.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins. St. Bonaventure at -483 (Courtside) means a $100 bet profits $20.70. It has to win 82.8% of the time just to break even. Youngstown State at +440 (FanDuel) profits $440 on $100 and breaks even at 18.5%. The spread is a handicap. St. Bonaventure -10.5 needs an 11-point win.
At -104, $100 profits $96.15, and the break-even is 51%. That small tax over even money is the vig, the book's cut. The total is the combined score, set at 153.5. The Under is -103 at Courtside, which profits $97.09 and breaks even at 50.7%. Every price here is the best we found across books. Shopping lines is value left on the table if you skip it.
Strip out the vig and the market reads 82.9% St. Bonaventure, 17.1% Youngstown State. Expected value is your average result per $100 if you made the same bet over and over. St. That is the only positive number on the board, and it is pocket change. Bonaventure -10.5 costs minus $2.85. The Over costs minus $1.92 and the Under minus $1.46. There is no fat edge here.
Be clear on what this is. It is a matchup lean, not a value play. We like it because the stored pace and scoring numbers are nearly identical, and the move to 10.5 gave the underdog a 10-point loss as a winner. If you see +11 at the same price, take it. A bigger number is always better for the dog. This is Desk analysis, not an official play.
St. Bonaventure vs Youngstown State should be a Bonnies win, just not a blowout. We project St. Bonaventure 78, Youngstown State 70. That is an 8-point margin, so Youngstown State covers, and it adds up to 148 points, under the 153.5 total. That is our read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play every day, and it sits right below.
St. Bonaventure is the market favorite at -483 (best price at Courtside) on the moneyline, with Youngstown State at +440. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Youngstown State vs St. Bonaventure streams on ESPN+. The game is played indoors at the Reilly Center, home of the St. Bonaventure Bonnies, and tips off Monday, November 2, 2026, at 7:00 PM Eastern time as the season opener for both teams.
St. Bonaventure is the favorite at -483 on the moneyline (best at Courtside), and Youngstown State is the underdog at +440 (best at FanDuel). With the vig removed, the market reads about 82.9% St. Bonaventure and 17.1% Youngstown State. The spread is St. Bonaventure -10.5.
The game starts Monday, November 2, 2026, at 7:00 PM Eastern time. It is played at the Reilly Center and streams on ESPN+. Both teams enter at 0-0, since this is the season opener for each program.
St. Bonaventure is the rightful favorite, but we lean Youngstown State +10.5 at Novig as a matchup read on a spread that has already climbed a half point. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 153.5, with the over priced at -104 at Novig and the under at -103 at Courtside. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits
The spread opened Bonnies -10 and is now -10.5; the total moved from 151 to 153.5.
As of Nov 1, 6:24 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.