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DraftKings bettors lean San José State Spartans on the spread (63% of tickets).
| Book | BetsUTSA Roadrunners +8San José State Spartans -8 | MoneyUTSA Roadrunners +8San José State Spartans -8 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsUTSA Roadrunners (+330)San José State Spartans (-344) | MoneyUTSA Roadrunners (+330)San José State Spartans (-344) |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
| Book | BetsOver 155.5Under 155.5 | MoneyOver 155.5Under 155.5 |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings |
Splits data from DraftKings. See every game's betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Last read before kickoff .
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. Polymarket US does not publish trades, so it shows prices only and no buyer split is drawn. It is a separate venue from Polymarket and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | UTSA Roadrunners | San José State Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +310Bet at Bally Bet → | -316Bet at Courtside → |
| Spread | +8.5 -105Bet at Hard Rock Bet → | -8.5 -105Bet at BetMGM → |
| Total 153.5 | O +100Bet at Novig → exchange price | U -106Bet at Novig → exchange price |
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
The books want $316 from you to win $100 on San José State, and the spread has not moved a half point since it opened. That is a market that trusts its own number, so the real question is whether any value is left. The UTSA Roadrunners visit the San José State Spartans on Monday, November 2 at 3:00 PM ET at the Provident Credit Union Event Center, streaming on MW+. Both teams are 0-0, so this is the first game of the year for each.
San José State is the favorite and UTSA is the underdog. Neither team has played a game yet this season, so this is the opener for both and we build the read on prices and context. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored past results, gives San José State 74% to win, close to the market's 76.6%.
UTSA comes in on game 2 of a road trip after a 1,609-mile trip from Houston, crossing two time zones west. San José State traveled 383 miles from Las Vegas with no time-zone change. Over their last 10 stored games, which are not this season's games, UTSA played at 68.9 possessions per game and scored 105.2 points per 100 possessions, while San José State played at 65.6 possessions and scored 118.6 points per 100.
Our data lists six players, each with averages over his last five and last 10 stored games. Colby Garland is the headliner at 24 points per game over the last five (24 over 10) in 38.4 minutes. Adrian Myers posted 15.4 points and 7.2 rebounds per game over the last five (17 and 7.4 over 10). Melvin Bell Jr. averaged 11 points over the last five in 38.6 minutes, and Jermaine Washington 10.6 points over the last five in 37.8 minutes. Sadraque NgaNga added 9.6 points and 4.8 rebounds per game over the last five. Japhet Moupadele averaged 2.8 points over the last five in 12.4 minutes.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. UTSA at +310 (Bally Bet) means a $100 bet profits $310. San José State at -316 (Courtside) means a $100 bet profits $31.65. The point spread evens out talent. UTSA +8.5 at -105 (Hard Rock Bet) wins if UTSA wins or loses by 8 or fewer. San José State -8.5 at -105 (BetMGM) needs a win by 9 or more. A half point means no push, which is a tie that refunds your bet. Shopping across books for these prices is the whole game.
Every price has a break-even rate, the win rate you need to not lose money over time. Books bake in a fee called the vig. Strip it out and the market rates San José State at 76.6%. The -316 at Courtside breaks even at 76%. Small, but positive. Every other ticket on this board is negative: UTSA +310 is minus $4.04, each side of the spread is minus $2.38, the Over is minus $1.47 and the Under is minus $1.41, all per $100 risked.
We lean San José State on the moneyline at -316 at Courtside. This is the only number on the board where the market's own read clears the break-even. It is Desk analysis, not an official play.
In San José State vs UTSA, we expect the Spartans' slower pace and stronger stored efficiency to control the night, with UTSA carrying a long trip west. Our projected score is San José State 80, UTSA 70. That adds up to 150 points, under the 153.5 total. We trust the moneyline read more than any projection, and the edge only exists at the best price. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
San José State is the market favorite at -316 (best price at Courtside) on the moneyline, with UTSA at +310. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
UTSA vs San José State streams on MW+. The game tips off Monday, November 2 at 3:00 PM ET at the Provident Credit Union Event Center, home of the San José State Spartans. MW+ is the only broadcast listed for this game.
San José State is the favorite at -316 on the moneyline (best at Courtside), and UTSA is the underdog at +310 (best at Bally Bet). With the vig removed, the market rates San José State at about 76.6% and UTSA at about 23.4%. The spread is San José State -8.5.
The UTSA Roadrunners and San José State Spartans tip off on Monday, November 2 at 3:00 PM ET. The game is played at the Provident Credit Union Event Center and streams on MW+. Both teams enter the game at 0-0.
UTSA Roadrunners vs San José State Spartans College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 153.5, with the over priced at +100 at Novig and the under at -106 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits
The spread has held at Spartans -8.5 since it opened; the total has held at 153.5.
As of Nov 1, 7:40 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.