St. Thomas vs Long Island University Prediction (Nov 16)

Long Island University vs St. Thomas Prediction: A Line Still Waiting

Long Island University has not won a game yet. As of November 13, the Long Island University Sharks sit at 0-5 and ninth of nine in the Northeast Conference, and no sportsbook has posted a number on this game. The St. Thomas Tommies come to Brooklyn Athletic Center on Monday, November 16, with tip-off at 7:00 PM ET on NEC Front Row. The question for a bettor is simple. When a price finally shows up, will it be fair?

St. Thomas vs Long Island University: The Matchup

St. Thomas is 2-2 as of publication, but it is only four games into the season. That is far too early to call it form. LIU's 0-5 start and last-place NEC standing, as of November 13, are the hard facts on the home side. We have no season series to lean on. Through four games, St.

Thomas averages 46 percent shooting from the field and 36.5 percent from three per game. It commits 9.5 turnovers per game while opponents commit 13. It scores 33.5 points in the paint per game and allows 27.5. On schedule, St. Thomas has one day of rest, is not on a back-to-back, and is playing game two of a road trip after a 49-mile trip from West Point with no time-zone change.

Players to Watch

LIU guard Daquan Davis averages 14.2 points per game over four games played of the team's five. He logs 33.4 minutes per game, and over his last five games he has averaged 12.6 points and 3 rebounds. For St. Thomas, Hayden Tibbits averages 15.0 points per game over all four of his team's games, in 25.2 minutes per game. Over his last five games he has averaged 12.6 points (7.7 over his last 10). He led St. Thomas with 28 minutes last game. Both players have played four games this season, so the per-game numbers compare evenly.

St. Thomas vs Long Island University Odds: Who Is Favored?

Nobody yet. No odds are posted. When they arrive, expect three main bets. The moneyline means picking who wins outright. The spread means a handicap in points, where the favorite must win by more than the number. The total, or over-under, is a bet on combined points. Each price carries the vig, which is the book's built-in fee. St.

Thomas is 2-1 against the spread (covering the handicap) in three graded games and 1-2 on over-unders in three games. That is a tiny sample. Over its last 10 stored games, St. Thomas played at 66.7 possessions per game and scored 114.3 points per 100 possessions. Once lines post, compare every book. The best number is the whole game.

Where the Value Is

Without prices we cannot compute a no-vig figure, which is the market-implied probability with the book's fee stripped out. We also cannot compute expected value, meaning the average profit or loss per $100 risked if you made the same bet many times. Our read is that St. Thomas should be the side, given LIU's winless start. But a good team at a bad price is still a bad bet. If the moneyline gets very expensive, the value can vanish.

The Pick

The Desk leans St. Thomas to win outright, price not yet posted. Take the best moneyline you can find across books once it appears. We have no spread lean because there is no spread to judge. This is Desk analysis, not an official play.

The Prediction

St. Thomas's pace and efficiency over its last 10 stored games point to roughly 76 points. LIU has yet to find a win. We project St. Thomas 76, LIU 68, a 144-point game decided by eight. That is the read on this matchup before the number lands. The Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.