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Purdue Boilermakers play at Gonzaga Bulldogs in the college basketball on Monday, November 2, at T-Mobile Arena. As of 7:23 PM ET, Gonzaga are 5.5-point favorites and the total is 153.5. Prices come from 14 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated (1 min ago) · from 14 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
| Book | BetsPurdue +5.5Gonzaga -5.5 | MoneyPurdue +5.5Gonzaga -5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) |
| Book | BetsPurdue (+210)Gonzaga (-245) | MoneyPurdue (+210)Gonzaga (-245) |
|---|---|---|
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) |
| Book | BetsOver 153.5Under 153.5 | MoneyOver 153.5Under 153.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Circa (sharp Vegas book) |
Splits data from Circa. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits
| Market | Purdue Boilermakers | Gonzaga Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +5.5 | -5.5 |
| Total 153.5 | O | U |
| Moneyline | +210 | -245 |
. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. Polymarket US does not publish trades, so it shows prices only and no buyer split is drawn. It is a separate venue from Polymarket and is never added into its numbers.
Ross has an Owner Selection on this game, his daily hand-picked play, bet with his own money and posted for Owner members with the ticket photo. The side stays with Owner members, so the Desk's free read comes off this page. The breakdown and numbers below are still free.
Owner board, last 16 college football plays 10-6 every ticket posted before the game, graded in public |
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OWNER WINNER
✓ CASHED · WAS Commanders -5.5 Spread
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| Market | Purdue Boilermakers | Gonzaga Bulldogs |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +217Bet at Novig → exchange price | -223Bet at Novig → exchange price |
| Spread | +5.5 -105Bet at Hard Rock Bet → | -5.5 -102Bet at ProphetX → exchange price |
| Total 153.5 | O -104Bet at ProphetX → exchange price | U -105Bet at FanDuel → |
As of 7:23 PM ET, the spread is Gonzaga -5.5 and the total is 153.5, with 14 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Purdue ML | Gonzaga ML | Purdue spread | Gonzaga spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet | +180 | -240 | +5.5 -107 | -5.5 -114 | O 153.5 -112 | U 153.5 -109 |
| BetMGM | +195 | -235 | +5.5 -110 | -5.5 -110 | O 153.5 -110 | U 153.5 -110 |
| betPARX | +180 | -240 | +5.5 -107 | -5.5 -114 | O 153.5 -112 | U 153.5 -109 |
| BetRivers | +180 | -240 | +5.5 -108 | -5.5 -115 | O 153.5 -113 | U 153.5 -110 |
| Caesars | +205 | -250 | +5.5 -110 | -5.5 -110 | O 153.5 -110 | U 153.5 -110 |
| Courtside | +205 | -239 | +5.5 -108 | -5.5 -108 | O 153.5 -110 | U 153.5 -106 |
| DraftKings | +200 | -245 | +5.5 -110 | -5.5 -110 | O 153.5 -112 | U 153.5 -108 |
| Fanatics | +200 | -245 | +5.5 -110 | -5.5 -110 | O 153.5 -110 | U 153.5 -110 |
| FanDuel | +198 | -245 | +5.5 -112 | -5.5 -108 | O 153.5 -115 | U 153.5 -105 |
| Fliff | +180 | -255 | +5.5 -115 | -5.5 -120 | O 153.5 -120 | U 153.5 -115 |
Prices from 14 sportsbooks we track (the 10 with the most markets shown), updated (1 min ago). Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Gonzaga is a -223 favorite. Yet 82% of the money traded on Kalshi's moneyline is on Purdue. That split between where the price sits and where the cash is moving is the whole story of this Monday night game. The Purdue Boilermakers and Gonzaga Bulldogs meet on a neutral floor at T-Mobile Arena, tipping at 7:30 PM ET on TNT. Neither team has played a game that counts yet, so every number here is a price, not a record.
Both teams are 0-0. It is the very start of the season, so the prices are what we have to work with. Neither team is at home. Purdue traveled 756 miles from its last game in Portland. Gonzaga traveled 383 miles from San Jose. Neither changed time zones. The books make Gonzaga the favorite. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results, reads it much tighter: Gonzaga 51%, Purdue 49%.
That is context, not a bet. The style numbers matter more. Over the last 10 stored games, Purdue played at 65.5 possessions per game (a possession is one trip down the floor) and scored 116.1 points per 100 possessions. Gonzaga played slower, at 62.6 possessions, and scored 127.1 per 100. A Nov 1 headline billed this one as "No. 15 Gonzaga Bulldogs take on the Purdue Boilermakers."
The player notes in our data are all Boilermakers. Trey Kaufman-Renn averaged 18.8 points and 6.2 rebounds over his last five stored games (16.3 points over his last 10) in 29.6 minutes a night. Braden Smith averaged 16.2 points over his last five (12.3 over 10) while playing 36 minutes a game. Oscar Cluff averaged 12.6 points and 7.8 rebounds over his last five (13 and 8.7 over 10). C.J. Cox averaged 8.6 points over his last five (9.7 over 10). Gicarri Harris (3 points per game over his last five, 14.2 minutes) and Daniel Jacobsen (0.8 over his last five, 6 minutes) are depth pieces.
The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. It must win 69% of the time to break even. The spread is a bet on the margin. Purdue +5.5 at -105 (Hard Rock Bet) wins if Purdue wins or loses by 5 or fewer. It loses on a 6-point loss, and the half point means no push (a tie that refunds your bet). Break-even is 51.2%.
Gonzaga -5.5 at -102 (ProphetX) needs a win by 6 or more, with a 50.5% break-even. That spread opened at -5.5 and has not moved. The total (combined points) is 153.5, down from 155.5 after six moves. Over -106 at ProphetX breaks even at 51.5%. Under -105 at FanDuel breaks even at 51.2%. These are the best prices we found. Shop for them, because a worse number at another book costs you real money.
Gonzaga is the market favorite at -223 (best price at Novig) on the moneyline, with Purdue at +217. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
Exchange money is flowing toward Purdue while the sportsbooks hold Gonzaga as a clear favorite in a neutral-site opener at T-Mobile Arena. Wise Guy Team has an official play on this game. Members see it on their board.
The total is 153.5, with the over priced at -104 at ProphetX and the under at -105 at FanDuel. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
The spread has held at Bulldogs -5.5 since it opened; the total moved from 155.5 to 153.5.
On Kalshi, 82% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Boilermakers (442 trades, $17k traded). On Novig, 69% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Boilermakers (124 trades, $13k traded). On ProphetX, 53% of the money traded on the moneyline is on the Boilermakers (18 trades, $1.3k traded). Light trading so far, so the share can swing. Exchange trades, not sportsbook bets.
As of Nov 2, 7:19 PM ET, when this preview was written. Percentages are public betting splits and market prices, not picks.
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.
