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Pepperdine Waves play at Oregon Ducks in college basketball on Sunday, November 15, at Matthew Knight Arena. As of 8:11 PM ET, Oregon are 16.5-point favorites and the total is 156.5. Prices come from 6 sportsbooks we track. A prediction is an estimate from the market and the matchup, not a certain result.
Prices updated · from 6 sportsbooks · college basketball betting splits
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Polymarket US lists moneyline for this game. No trade split yet for these markets (none captured, or too few to show), so they show prices only. Polymarket US is a separate venue from Polymarket (international) and is never added into its numbers.
| Market | Pepperdine Waves | Oregon Ducks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +16.5 -105Bet at theScore Bet → | -16.5 -110Bet at FanDuel → |
| Total 156.5 | O -110Bet at FanDuel → | U -110Bet at FanDuel → |
As of 8:11 PM ET, the spread is Oregon -16.5 and the total is 156.5, with 6 sportsbooks priced and the table showing each book's own number.
| Sportsbook | Pepperdine ML | Oregon ML | Pepperdine spread | Oregon spread | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | +1160 | -2800 | +16.5 -110 | -16.5 -110 | O 156.5 -110 | U 156.5 -110 |
| Novig | +1941 | -2173 | +16.5 -108 | -16.5 -117 | O 156.5 -138 | U 156.5 -122 |
| ProphetX | +1600 | -4700 | +16.5 -106 | -16.5 -110 | O 156.5 -134 | U 156.5 -127 |
| Fanatics | +1200 | -2200 | +16.5 -110 | -16.5 -110 | – | – |
| Fliff | +835 | -2595 | +16.5 -115 | -16.5 -120 | – | – |
| theScore Bet | – | – | +16.5 -105 | -16.5 -115 | – | – |
Prices from 6 sportsbooks we track, updated . Prices move, so check the book before you bet.
Wei Lin (ORE)12.7 PPG (3 GP)
Petar Majstorovic (PEPP)16.5 PPG (4 GP)Prices are posted now. Best prices as of 8:11 PM ET: Pepperdine Waves +16.5 -105 at theScore Bet, Oregon Ducks -16.5 -110 at FanDuel. The full best-price table sits at the top of this page.
Our rating makes the Oregon Ducks a 78% favorite. That gap is the whole story of this Pepperdine vs Oregon prediction for now. Our rating is an Elo model built on stored results. It is context, not a bet. The Pepperdine Waves arrive on game two of a road trip. They flew 1,757 miles from their last game in Huntsville and crossed two time zones heading west. Oregon has not moved. This is game four of a home stand at Matthew Knight Arena.
It is very early. As of Friday's publication, Pepperdine is 2-2 four games into the season and Oregon is 3-0 three games in. That is far too little to call form. Tip-off is Sunday, November 15 at 5:00 PM ET on B1G+. Both teams have three days of rest, and neither is on a back-to-back.
The per-game averages are fun but thin. Over three games, Oregon is shooting 60.33% from the field and 43% from three, with 49.33 points in the paint per game. Over four games, Pepperdine is holding opponents to 37% shooting and is forcing turnovers with 10.5 steals per game. Treat all of it as a small sample.
Petar Majstorovic leads Pepperdine at 16.5 points per game over four games, and he logged 31 minutes in the last one. Jahari Williamson and Evan Haywood each played 35 minutes in that game, so the Waves lean hard on their top guys. Wei Lin leads Oregon at 12.7 points per game over three games, a small sample. In Oregon's last game nobody played more than Jasper Johnson's 21 minutes. That tells us the Ducks spread the floor time around.
None yet., you will see three bets. The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. The spread is a points handicap, so the favorite must win by more than the number. The total is a bet on combined points, over or under. Every price includes the vig, the bookmaker's built-in fee.
That fee is why getting the best number across books matters so much. Through three graded games, Oregon is 2-1 against the spread (it beat the handicap twice). It is 2-1 against the spread at home and 2-1 as the favorite. Its games have also gone over the total 3-0 in three games. Those are tiny samples, not trends.
Without a price there is no expected value to compute yet, so here is how to judge it. The break-even rate is how often a bet must win just to not lose money at its price. The no-vig number is the market-implied probability with the bookmaker's fee removed. Expected value is your average result per $100 risked over many identical bets.
If the best Oregon price needs a higher win rate than the market's own no-vig number supports, there is no value, and you pass. You can hold our rating up beside the market for context, nothing more. Our lean rests on the schedule: a home team with zero travel against a road team that crossed two time zones.
Shop every book when the moneyline posts and take the best one. The spread is a different bet with its own break-even, so judge it on its own number. This is Desk analysis, not an official play.
We see Oregon's home floor and rested legs outlasting a Pepperdine team deep into a long road swing. Oregon vs Pepperdine projects to Oregon 79, Pepperdine 70. The Ducks control the paint, and the Waves' heavy-minute starters fade late. That is the read before the number even exists; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.
Pepperdine Waves vs Oregon Ducks College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk.
Pepperdine vs Oregon airs on B1G+. The game is played at Matthew Knight Arena, an indoor venue, so the broadcast is the place to follow every possession of this early-season nonconference matchup between the Waves and the Ducks.
Betting odds were not posted at publication. Our rating, an Elo model built on stored results and used only as context, gives the Oregon Ducks a 78% chance to win and the Pepperdine Waves 22%. Check the sportsbooks for the market's view once lines open.
Pepperdine vs Oregon tips off Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET at Matthew Knight Arena. The game is broadcast on B1G+. Pepperdine arrives on game two of a road trip, and Oregon plays game four of a home stand.
Pepperdine Waves vs Oregon Ducks College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 156.5, with the over priced at -110 at FanDuel and the under at -110 at FanDuel. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits · college basketball odds · FanDuel betting splits
This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
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