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As of Oct 28, 7:51 AM ET, moneyline tickets split 11% Memphis, 89% Iowa State, and the money splits 59% Memphis, 41% Iowa State (licensed market-data feed, the same numbers as our betting splits board).
Kalshi and Polymarket list this game, but not enough has traded yet to show the buyers (we show markets with at least 10 trades and $500 traded).
| Market | Memphis Tigers | Iowa State Cyclones |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +650Bet at Caesars → | -715betPARX |
| Spread | +13.5 -110betPARX | -13.5 -110betPARX |
| Total 155.5 | O -107betPARX | U -114betPARX |
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
Five books we track opened this total anywhere from 152.5 (DraftKings) to 155.5 (Betparx), a 3 point spread of opening numbers on the same game (captured 2026-10-27, 5 readings). Books almost never disagree that much. The side, though, is settled: the Iowa State Cyclones are the favorite at -715 and the Memphis Tigers the underdog at +650, which is 569 cents past even money. So the market is certain who wins and genuinely unsure how many points get scored. That gap is where a reader should start.
Memphis plays at Iowa State on Monday, November 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET from Sanford Pentagon, with Iowa State listed as the home team. Both clubs are 0-0. Neither team has played a game this season, so there is no form line, no season series and no current-season results of any kind to lean on. Anybody handing you a trend line for Iowa State vs Memphis right now is inventing it. What is real: the memphis vs iowa state spread sits at Iowa State -13.5, the total is 155.5, and the market's no-vig read (the implied chances with the sportsbook's built-in cut removed) is Iowa State 87%, Memphis 13%.
Straight answer: our data for this game does not publish individual stat lines, and with zero games played there is no per-game sample for anyone on either roster. We will not make one up. The thing to actually watch is the number. A 13.5 point spread in college basketball is roughly four to five possessions, which is a lot to ask of a team on night one, when rotations are unsettled and nobody has a scouting report that is current.
FS1 has it, Monday, November 2 at 7:00 PM ET. That is the broadcast on our scoreboard read, and it is the only one we will name.
Moneyline means you are only picking the winner. Iowa State -715 at betPARX: a $100 bet profits $13.99 when it wins and loses $100 when it does not, break-even 87.7%. Memphis +650 at Caesars: a $100 bet profits $650.00 when it wins and loses $100 when it does not, break-even 13.3%. The spread is a different bet entirely, settled on margin. Memphis +13.5 at -110 (betPARX) wins if Memphis wins outright or loses by 13 or fewer, and it loses on a 14-point defeat.
There is no push at a half point. Iowa State -13.5 at -110 (betPARX) wins only by 14 or more, so a 13-point win loses. Both sides of that spread need 52.4% to break even. Under 155.5 is -114 (betPARX), profiting $87.72, break-even 53.3%. On a total, the number matters as much as the price: Over bettors want the lowest number available, Under bettors want the highest.
Expected value is just the average result per $100 risked if the same bet were made many times. Now our fair price, the +EV board's calibrated estimate for each side on its own. Memphis moneyline grades at +582 (14.7%), and the best available price is +650, longer than our estimate. That is the one spot on this board where the money on the counter beats our own number.
Memphis Tigers moneyline +650 at Caesars, small stake. It needs 13.3% to break even, the lowest break-even percent of the prices posted on this game, and our fair price has it at 14.7%. This is a price play, not a prediction that Memphis wins.
Our single most likely number is Iowa State 83, Memphis 75. Add it up: 158 points, which is over the total of 155.5, and an 8-point margin, which would cash Memphis +13.5 and lose Iowa State -13.5. A long-shot ticket wins by surviving the tail, not by matching the projection, so size it like one. That is our read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.
Iowa State is the market favorite at -715 (best price at betPARX) on the moneyline, with Memphis at +650. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
FS1 carries the game. Memphis and Iowa State tip at Sanford Pentagon, with Iowa State listed as the home team, on Monday, November 2, 2026. That network and venue come from our scoreboard read on October 27, and no other broadcast is listed for this matchup.
Iowa State is the favorite at -715, best priced at betPARX, with Memphis the underdog at +650, best at Caesars. The spread is Iowa State -13.5 and Memphis +13.5, both -110 at betPARX. With the sportsbook cut removed, the market reads it about 87% Iowa State, 13% Memphis.
Tipoff is Monday, November 2, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET on FS1. Both teams enter at 0-0, so there is no current-season form, streak or standings position to cite for either club heading into the game.
The total is 155.5, with Over -107 and Under -114, both best priced at betPARX. Books opened apart on this one: five tracked books posted openers from 152.5 at DraftKings up to 155.5 at Betparx, a 3 point spread of opening numbers.
Memphis Tigers vs Iowa State Cyclones College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
The total is 155.5, with the over priced at -107 at betPARX and the under at -114 at betPARX. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: College basketball betting splits · DraftKings betting splits
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