Denver vs UC Riverside Prediction & Odds (Nov 7) | WGT
The Wise Guy Desk · College Basketball
Denver Pioneers logo@UC Riverside Highlanders logo
This game has ended. Final: Denver Pioneers 60, UC Riverside Highlanders 64. The preview below is archived exactly as it was published before the game. Browse the November 2026 College Basketball archive →
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Denver vs UC Riverside Prediction & Odds (Nov 7)

Quick answer
Denver vs UC Riverside at SRC Arena has ended. Final: Denver Pioneers 60, UC Riverside Highlanders 64. Before it started, the page listed spread Highlanders -2.5, total 156.5 and moneyline +125 / -130 (away / home).
From the numbers on this page, compiled by the Wise Guy Desk. Page content last changed November 8, 2026.
Denver Pioneers vs UC Riverside Highlanders College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. · SRC Arena
SpreadHighlanders -2.5
Total156.5
Moneyline, away / home+125 / -130
KickoffSat, Nov 7, 7:30 PM ET

Who was the public betting on Denver Pioneers vs UC Riverside Highlanders?

DraftKings bettors lean UC Riverside Highlanders on the spread (80% of tickets).

Spread
BookBetsDenver Pioneers +2.5UC Riverside Highlanders -2.5MoneyDenver Pioneers +2.5UC Riverside Highlanders -2.5
DraftKings
Circa (sharp Vegas book)
Moneyline
BookBetsDenver Pioneers (+110)UC Riverside Highlanders (-130)MoneyDenver Pioneers (+110)UC Riverside Highlanders (-130)
DraftKings
Total
BookBetsOver 156.5Under 156.5MoneyOver 156.5Under 156.5
DraftKings

Splits data from DraftKings and Circa. See every game's betting splits · Circa betting splits

Circa closing read sharp Vegas reference, not bettable here
MarketDenver PioneersUC Riverside Highlanders
Spread+1.5-1.5

. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book. Its numbers are a reference for where the number sits, not a price you can take here.

Exchange buyers before kickoff: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket, Novig, ProphetX)

These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.

How to read these numbers

Kalshi, Polymarket and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of trades since the market opened and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.

Kalshi
Moneyline$7.3k traded · 60 trades
Denver PioneersUC Riverside Highlanders
Trades
Money
Spread$653 traded · 16 trades
Denver Pioneers +1.5UC Riverside Highlanders -1.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $653 so far, percentages can swing
Total 157.5$3.8k traded · 26 trades
Over 157.5Under 157.5
Trades
Money
Light trading: $3.8k so far, percentages can swing
ProphetX
Spread$934 traded · 12 trades
Denver Pioneers +2UC Riverside Highlanders -2
Trades
Money
Light trading: $934 so far, percentages can swing

Last read before kickoff .

How the number moved: Denver Pioneers at UC Riverside Highlanders

MarketOpenedClosedCirca closed
Spread (home line)-1.5-1.5n/a
Total154.5156n/a
Moneyline (away / home)n/a+110 / -130n/a

Opened is the first number we saw and closed the last before kickoff, the median across the books we track. Circa is a sharp Las Vegas book, shown as a reference.

Denver Pioneers vs UC Riverside Highlanders: odds, trends and our lean

📊 Best prices from the US sportsbooks and exchanges we track (exchange prices are marked) Prices when this preview was published
MarketDenver PioneersUC Riverside Highlanders
Moneyline+125Pregame price at Novig → exchange price-130Pregame price at theScore Bet →
Spread+2.5 -108Pregame price at Novig → exchange price-2.5 +104Pregame price at Novig → exchange price
Total 156.5O -105Pregame price at BetMGM →U -104Pregame price at Novig → exchange price
📊 Team Breakdown archived pregame data
Season win %
Denver Pioneers
0%
UC Riverside Highlanders
100%
Chance to win, per the betting market (vig removed)

Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →

Players to watch
Tony DuckettTony Duckett (UCR)21.0 PPG (1 GP)
Carson JohnsonCarson Johnson (DEN)27.0 PPG (1 GP)
How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. In this game, +125 means a $100 bet profits $125 if it wins. The spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator

A Short Home Favorite and a Long Flight West

UC Riverside is only -130 at home, and Denver is flying in from Madison, 1,630 miles and two time zones away. Our own rating likes the home side at 62%, yet 73% of the money traded on Kalshi's moneyline is on the Denver Pioneers (22 trades, $808 traded), light trading that can still swing. The Denver Pioneers visit the UC Riverside Highlanders at SRC Arena on Saturday, November 7 at 7:30 PM ET on ESPN+. It is a conference game, and the price is the story.

Who Is Favored to Win Denver vs UC Riverside?

UC Riverside is the favorite at -130. Denver is the underdog at +125. Strip out the bookmaker's cut and the market reads it about 55.2% to 44.8% for the Highlanders. Each team has played only once (Denver 0-1, UC Riverside 1-0), so it is far too early to call either one good or bad. Both teams get 4 days of rest.

Denver is on game 2 of a road trip. UC Riverside is on game 2 of a home stand and has not traveled. Our rating, an Elo model built on past results, gives UC Riverside 62% and Denver 38%. That is more bullish on the home team than the market, and we treat it as context only.

Players to Watch

Carson Johnson scored 27 points for Denver in his one game this season, a small sample, while playing 36 minutes. Across his last five stored games he averages 24.6 points (22.4 over ten). Denver leans on him hard, with Kam Martin at 29 minutes and Shaun Wysocki at 27 last time out.

Tony Duckett scored 21 for UC Riverside in his one game, also a small sample, in just 23 minutes. The Highlanders spread minutes more, with James Evans Jr. at 22 and Tyus Parrish-Tillman at 20. Over their last 10 stored games, UC Riverside plays faster (72.4 possessions per game to Denver's 67). Denver scores more efficiently (119.8 points per 100 possessions to 107.7).

What Are the Denver vs UC Riverside Odds and Spread?

The moneyline is a bet on who wins, period. UC Riverside -130 at theScore Bet means a $100 bet profits $76.92. The minus sign marks the favorite. The Denver vs UC Riverside spread is a bet on the margin. It loses on a 3-point loss. The total is a bet on combined points, set at 156.5. Every one of these is the best price across the books we track. A worse number at another book costs you real money over time.

Where the Value Is

Every price has a break-even, the win rate you need just to not lose money. The bookmaker's cut, called the vig, is built into those prices. Denver at +125 needs 44.4%. The market, with the vig removed, gives Denver 44.8%. Expected value is the average result over many bets like this one, not what you win on one ticket. Every other number here runs negative. Denver +2.5 averages minus $0.90, UC Riverside -2.5 minus $0.97, the Over minus $3.30 and the Under minus $1.00. The edge is thin. So this is a small, price-driven position.

The Pick

It is the only price on this board that pays more than the market's own read. We pass on the spread and the total.

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The Prediction

For anyone searching a UC Riverside vs Denver prediction, our read is that Johnson's minutes and Denver's efficiency keep this tight all night. Denver steals it late, 78-76. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.

Denver vs UC Riverside FAQ

Who is favored in Denver vs UC Riverside?

UC Riverside is the market favorite at -130 (best price at theScore Bet) on the moneyline, with Denver at +125. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.

Where to watch Denver vs UC Riverside?

The Denver Pioneers at UC Riverside Highlanders game streams on ESPN+. It tips off Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET from SRC Arena, an indoor venue, so the listed start time is the main thing to plan around.

What time is the Denver vs UC Riverside game?

Denver vs UC Riverside starts Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET at SRC Arena. The broadcast is on ESPN+. It is a conference game, with Denver on game 2 of a road trip and UC Riverside on game 2 of a home stand.

Who will win UC Riverside vs Denver?

Denver Pioneers vs UC Riverside Highlanders College Basketball prediction, picks and best bet from the Wise Guy Desk. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.

What is the total (over/under) for Denver vs UC Riverside?

The total is 156.5, with the over priced at -105 at BetMGM and the under at -104 at Novig. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.

Are these College Basketball picks free?

Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.

How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in College Basketball games?

Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.

This preview was produced with AI assistance from live data feeds and reviewed by automated checks. Odds and availability change constantly and may differ from what's shown - always verify the current line at your sportsbook before betting. Found an error? memberservice@wiseguyteam.com.
21+. For entertainment and educational purposes, not financial advice. Wise Guy Desk reads are analysis, not guaranteed outcomes. If gambling stops being fun, take a break. 1-800-GAMBLER.

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