Binghamton vs Lafayette Prediction & Odds (Nov 18)

Binghamton vs Lafayette Prediction: Ball Security vs Chaos

The Lafayette Leopards are turning it over 16.67 times a game. The Binghamton Bearcats are at 11. That gap is the loudest number in this Binghamton vs Lafayette matchup, and it argues with our rating, which makes Lafayette a 62% home favorite. When the numbers disagree, a bettor has to pick which ones to trust.

What Time Is the Binghamton vs Lafayette Game, and How Do They Match Up?

Tip-off is Wednesday, November 18, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET at Kirby Sports Center. The game streams on ESPN+. As of November 14, Binghamton is 3-1 and Lafayette is 2-2. Both teams are only four games into the season, which is too early to call either record form. They have not met this season. The last meeting came 717 days ago, and Lafayette lost it. Both teams get 3 days of rest, and neither is on a back-to-back. Binghamton is on game 3 of a road trip after a 251-mile trip from Pittsburgh. Lafayette traveled 194 miles from Saint Bonaventure. Neither team changes time zones.

The per-game averages split cleanly. Binghamton hits 34.75% from three. Lafayette hits 27.67%. Lafayette wins inside, with 38 points in the paint per game to Binghamton's 31.5. It also grabs 36.67 rebounds per game to 33.25, and it averages 9 steals. Pace tells a story too. A possession is one trip down the floor. Binghamton plays about 64.5 possessions a game and scores 111.1 points per 100 possessions over its last 10 stored games. Lafayette plays faster at 69.6 and scores 107.1 per 100 over its last 9.

Players to Watch

Jeremiah Quigley leads Binghamton at 17.2 points per game over all 4 games. Our wider data has him at 18.6 points per game over his last 5 and 17.1 over his last 10, playing 33.6 minutes a night. Cooper Kesler leads Lafayette at 15.8 points per game over all 4 games. Kesler and Beckett Currie topped Lafayette's minutes last game at only 17 each, so Lafayette spread its minutes around. Binghamton leaned harder on its starters. Jayden Lemond and Jayden Kelsey played 32 minutes each, and Quigley played 31.

Who Is Favored to Win Binghamton vs Lafayette?

The books have not posted Binghamton vs Lafayette odds yet. Here is what to look for when they do. The moneyline is a bet on who wins outright. The spread is a handicap: the favorite has to win by more than a set number of points. The total, or over-under, is a bet on combined points. Every price carries a built-in fee called the vig.

Our rating, a model built on past results, gives Lafayette 62% and Binghamton 38%. It is context, not a bet. Binghamton is 2-1 against the spread (it beat the handicap twice) in 3 graded games. It is 0-2-1 on totals in 3 games, meaning two unders and a push. When lines appear, compare every book. The same bet can pay different amounts at different shops.

Where the Value Is

Without a price, we cannot compute expected value. Expected value is the average profit or loss per $100 risked if you made the same bet many times. Once a line posts, the no-vig number (the market's implied chance with the fee stripped out) shows whether a price pays enough. Here is our read on the matchup. Binghamton protects the ball, shoots better from deep and has scored more efficiently. If the market follows our rating and makes Binghamton the underdog, a plus-money price pays more than you risk. That is where value tends to live.

The Pick

We lean to the Binghamton moneyline. This is a matchup lean, and no price is posted yet. Take the best number across books and do the math before betting. A spread is a separate bet with its own break-even, so judge it on its own price.

The Prediction

Our Lafayette vs Binghamton prediction rests on the turnovers. If Lafayette gives away possessions at its current per-game rate, Binghamton's better shooting should matter more than Lafayette's edge in the paint. We project Binghamton 73, Lafayette 70, which is 143 total points. That is our read before a number exists. The Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it sits right below.