Twelve Versus Six
Jack Eichel has 12 points for Vegas. Steven Stamkos has 6 for Nashville. That is the sharpest line in this whole matchup, one offense already humming and one still searching for traction, and it is the first thing we check before a single price is posted. Knights vs Predators opens the season series on Tuesday, October 13, 2026 at 8:45 PM ET inside Bridgestone Arena, and the market has not hung numbers yet. That is actually useful. It means you get to form an opinion before the price forms one for you.
The Matchup
As of our publication date of October 9, the Vegas Golden Knights sit at 4-1-0 and the Nashville Predators sit at 2-1-1. In hockey records, the third number is an overtime or shootout loss, a defeat that still banks a point in the standings. So Nashville has lost twice but only once in regulation. Nashville is 5th of 8 in the Central Division. These two have not met yet this season; the series starts on 10/13. Predators vs Knights at home is the kind of spot where a middling start either corrects or compounds, and Nashville gets first crack at it on their own ice.
Players to Watch
Eichel's 12 points lead Vegas and that is a heavy share of the offense this early. Points are goals plus assists, so a leader at 12 through a 4-1-0 start means the Golden Knights are generating chances through their top line rather than scraping together greasy ones. Stamkos leads Nashville with 6. He remains a premier shooter on the power play, the man advantage a team gets when the opponent takes a penalty. If Nashville is going to swing this, it likely runs through Stamkos on a special teams goal, because at even strength the production gap is real.
The Numbers
No odds are posted for this game yet, so we are not quoting prices we do not have. Here is what will appear and what each piece means. The moneyline is a straight bet on who wins the game, no margin required. A minus sign marks the favorite and tells you how much you risk to win $100. A plus sign marks the underdog and tells you what $100 risked returns in profit.
The puck line is hockey's spread, almost always set at 1.5 goals, so the favorite must win by two or more and the underdog can lose by exactly one and still cash. That is a different bet from the moneyline with its own break-even rate, never a safer version of it. The total is the combined goals by both teams, and you pick over or under. When these post, compare every book, because a half-point or a few cents of price is the entire edge in hockey.
Where the Value Is
Break-even is the win rate a price needs just to stop losing money. Remove the vig (the book's built-in commission) from both sides and you get the market-implied probability, not a market-implied probability, just what the price says once the house cut is stripped out. Our read: Vegas is the better team right now on scoring and on record, and we expect the market to know it. The value question becomes how much Vegas costs. On the moneyline, we like the Golden Knights if the price stays reasonable. We would not reach for a heavy puck line number to chase a cheaper-looking ticket.
Injuries
Nashville lists three: William Trudeau (day-to-day), Mavrik Bourque (day-to-day) and Justus Annunen (injured reserve). Day-to-day is genuine uncertainty, not a coin flip you can price. Annunen on injured reserve thins the goaltending depth. Vegas lists two: Victor Olofsson (out) and Lukas Cormier (injured reserve). Five names total, and the heavier structural hit is Nashville's.
The Pick
Desk lean: Vegas Golden Knights moneyline. No price yet, so no book call. When the number posts, take the best available across your books and pass if Vegas is priced like a lock, because nothing here is.
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The Prediction
Vegas 4, Nashville 2. That is six total goals, so if the total opens at 6 we would rather have the Golden Knights side than the over. Eichel's line dictates terms, Nashville answers once on the power play, and the road team closes it late. That is the read on this number; the Desk posts a documented free play on days like this, and it lands right below.
Knights vs Predators FAQ
Who is favored in Knights vs Predators?
Vegas arrives with the hotter start and the hotter stick, and the Desk leans Golden Knights when the number posts.
Who will win Predators vs Knights?
Vegas arrives with the hotter start and the hotter stick, and the Desk leans Golden Knights when the number posts. The full read, including a projected final score, is in The Prediction section above.
Are these NHL picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NHL games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.