Today's MLB Best Bets

Our model likes the Padres to win by two or more at plus money, with San Diego -1.5 at +155 grading out as the sharpest number on the board.

The Wise Guy Desk leans Twins +124 at FanDuel in a tight Kirby vs Bradley duel, but only as a small-edge play, not an official release.

Detroit's red-hot bats and Keider Montero make the Tigers at -108 on FanDuel the honest lean in Sacramento.

Baseball's best team sends a 1.58 ERA ace into Anaheim against a reeling Angels club and a surprisingly tight pitching matchup.

With Kyle Freeland lugging a 7.34 ERA, the Wise Guy Desk leans Royals at plus money despite Bobby Witt Jr.'s absence.

The market makes the Yankees a slim favorite, but the model gap points our lean toward the Cubs at +106 on FanDuel.

A red-hot Houston club hosts a slumping Texas team with first place in the AL West on the line at Daikin Park.

Chase Burns and his 2.40 ERA make a small Reds moneyline lean at -132 the sharpest angle in a game where nothing screams value.

Sandy Alcantara and a surging Marlins club make Miami -112 at FanDuel the sharpest lean at Citi Field.

With no price clearing our value bar, the Desk's small lean is Rays -142 at FanDuel, backed by a model gap the market hasn't priced.

With the market pricing Arizona at just 39% and models seeing them closer to a coin flip, the Wise Guy Desk leans Diamondbacks +150 at FanDuel, small.

With Scherzer carrying a 9.49 ERA, the Cardinals at +116 are the honest lean in a game our model calls closer than the market does.

Atlanta has swept the season series and our model says the Braves run line at +172 is where the value hides.

Zack Wheeler's dominance makes the Phillies at -136 our lean, but it's a small edge, not a hammer.

An unpredictable interleague clash at Dodger Stadium pits Bryan Woo against Roki Sasaki with the season series tied 1-1.

A red-hot Sonny Gray meets a struggling Athletics staff in Sacramento, but the odds board is priced tighter than the matchup looks.

A fading Angels club hosts a surging Houston team, and the price gap between these AL West rivals is one of the widest on the board.

Our model sees real value on the Yankees at +122 with Cam Schlittler and his 2.07 ERA taking the ball at Rate Field.

The market barely favors Chicago, and the Cubs at -110 on the moneyline is the closest thing to fair value on the board.

With the market calling this a near coin flip, the sliver of value sits with the Royals at +102 on FanDuel's moneyline.

Chris Sale and a division leader against a hot Mets club, and our model finds a small edge on Braves -1.5 at +170 at BetMGM.

With no true edge on the board, our desk leans Reds +103 at DraftKings, the one price that trades almost exactly at fair value.

Two division leaders collide at the Trop, and the betting market has priced this one about as lopsided as baseball gets.