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This game has ended. Each team's next preview is below, with the current odds and the Desk's read.
Exchange buyers before kickoff: which side buyers took (Kalshi, Polymarket (international), Novig, ProphetX)
These are exchange trades, not sportsbook bets. On an exchange every trade has a buyer and a seller, so this shows which side buyers paid for.
How to read these numbers
Kalshi, Polymarket (international) and Novig publish every trade with the side the buyer took. ProphetX carries its trade fills the same way; a line with no captured fill shows dollars matched only. Trades is each side's share of the trades we read since we began reading the market and Money is its share of the dollars buyers paid. Markets with fewer than 10 trades or under $500 traded are left out; markets under 30 trades or $5,000 are labelled Light trading, because a few buyers can move the percentages a long way.
Kalshi
Moneyline$884k traded · 18k trades
Baltimore RavensIndianapolis Colts
Trades
Money
Spread$352k traded · 3.4k trades
Baltimore Ravens -3.5Indianapolis Colts +3.5
Trades
Money
Total 66.5$70k traded · 861 trades
Over 66.5Under 66.5
Trades
Money
Polymarket (international)
Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
Moneyline$298k traded · 1.3k trades
Baltimore RavensIndianapolis Colts
Trades
Money
Spread$85k traded · 294 trades
Baltimore Ravens -3.5Indianapolis Colts +3.5
Trades
Money
Total 48.5$34k traded · 65 trades
Over 48.5Under 48.5
Trades
Money
Last read before kickoff .
Indianapolis Colts win price on Kalshi and Polymarket (international) as kickoff neared
Indianapolis Colts to win, from 168 hours before the start to 14 min before the start: Polymarket (international) 38% to 42%; Kalshi 38% to 41%. These are exchange prices, read as the chance the market gave Indianapolis Colts, not sportsbook odds. Polymarket (international) is not open to US bettors.
Polymarket (international)KalshiScale 30% to 50%
🔒 Official Bonus play
Ross has an official play on this game
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Official board, 3 straight winning NBA plays 3-0 every ticket posted before the game, graded in public Bonus plays, last 6 college basketball plays 5-1 every ticket posted before the game, graded in public |
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WHALE WINNER
✓ CASHED · ORE Ducks +7.5 (Spread)
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Baltimore Ravens vs Indianapolis Colts: odds, trends and the matchup
📊 Best prices from the US sportsbooks and exchanges we track (exchange prices are marked) Prices when this preview was published
| Market | Baltimore Ravens | Indianapolis Colts |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -160Pregame price at ProphetX →Best partner price: Fanatics -170 exchange price | +156Pregame price at ProphetX →Best partner price: FanDuel +148 exchange price |
| Spread | -3 -105Pregame price at ProphetX → exchange price | +3 +104Pregame price at ProphetX →Best partner price: Fanatics -105 exchange price |
| Total 47.5 | O -110Pregame price at BetMGM → | U -103Pregame price at Caesars → |
📊 Team Breakdown archived pregame data
Chance to win, per the betting market (vig removed)
Our no-vig fair price on this game is for members. The posted odds are on this page; the fair line, and whether any book is hanging a number worth betting, live in the members' Odds Screen. Start your $1 trial →
How to read this: "chance to win per the betting market" comes from the actual odds with the sportsbook's built-in fee (the vig) stripped out, the market's honest opinion of the game.
🛈 Wise Guy Desk analysis - not an official play. A free breakdown to help you find value and bet the best number. Ross's documented plays are graded win or loss on the members board.
📘 New to betting? Two-minute translation. A moneyline bet is picking who wins, nothing else. In this game, +156 means a $100 bet profits $156 if it wins. The spread is a head start: -7.5 must win by 8+, while +7.5 cashes by losing by 7 or fewer (or winning). The total is combined points by both teams, over or under the books' number. +EV means the price pays better than the market-implied fair odds (vig removed); consistently taking better prices raises your expected return over time. Learn free: Sports Betting 101 · Odds converter · No-vig calculator
One Price On This Board Does Not Match The Rest
Strip the bookmaker's cut out of this market and the Indianapolis Colts are a 39.1% chance to win. The best price we can find on them is +156, and +156 needs 39.1% to break even. Those two numbers are sitting on top of each other, which almost never happens in a Week 1 opener. On the other side, the Baltimore Ravens at -160 need 61.5% to break even while the same market only gives them 60.9%. Ravens vs Colts kicks off Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET inside Lucas Oil Stadium, and the value question is already answered by arithmetic before anyone runs a play.
The Matchup
This is Week 1 of the 2026 regular season, so as of publication both clubs sit at 0-0. No season series exists yet. No standings exist yet. Baltimore is the road favorite at -3. Indianapolis gets the three points at home. The total, meaning the combined points both teams are expected to score, is set at 47.5.
Players to Watch
The names we have are availability names, and in Week 1 those swing a three-point line. Baltimore is without defensive lineman Nnamdi Madubuike and linebacker Teddye Buchanan, two interior-defense absences in a game where Indianapolis gets to dictate tempo at home. Receiver Devontez Walker is listed questionable, which means uncertain, nothing more. For Indianapolis, linebacker Austin Ajiake is out and tight end Carson Towt is on injured reserve, with tight end Sean McKeon questionable. Six names in total across both sides, and the Ravens' two outs are the heavier ones.
The Numbers
Moneyline means you are simply picking the winner. Baltimore -160 at ProphetX: a $100 bet profits $62.50 when it wins and loses $100 when it does not, break-even 61.5%. Indianapolis +156 at ProphetX: a $100 bet profits $156.00 when it wins and loses $100 when it does not, break-even 39.1%. That 39.1% is the lowest break-even number on this entire board, the cheapest ticket here.
The point spread is a margin bet. Baltimore -3 at -105 (ProphetX) wins only if the Ravens win by 4 or more, a 3-point win is a push (your stake comes back), and a 2-point win loses; $100 profits $95.24, break-even 51.2%. Indianapolis +3 at +104 (ProphetX) wins if the Colts win outright or lose by 2 or fewer, a 3-point loss pushes, a 4-point loss loses; $100 profits $104.00, break-even 49%.
Injuries
Final designations land before Sunday's 1:00 PM ET kickoff, and inactives post about 90 minutes prior. Baltimore's confirmed outs, Madubuike and Buchanan, are the ones to price. Questionable tags on Walker and McKeon carry no stated probability, so wait for the inactive list rather than guessing.
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Injury Report
INDAustin Ajiake (Out), Carson Towt (Injured Reserve), Sean McKeon (Questionable)
BALDevontez Walker (Questionable), Teddye Buchanan (Out), Nnamdi Madubuike (Out)
More NFL matchups
Ravens vs Colts FAQ
Who was favored in Ravens vs Colts?
Ravens is the market favorite at -160 (best price at ProphetX) on the moneyline, with Colts at +156. Lines move all day, so check the odds table on this page for the current best number at every book.
What was the pregame read on Colts vs Ravens?
A three-point Week 1 opener at Lucas Oil Stadium with a 47.5 total and a market that gives Baltimore a clear but modest edge. Wise Guy Team has an official play on this game. Members see it on their board.
What is the total (over/under) for Ravens vs Colts?
The total is 47.5, with the over priced at -110 at BetMGM and the under at -103 at Caesars. A total is a bet on the combined score of both teams, over or under that number, no matter who wins.
Are these NFL picks free?
Yes. This is a free Wise Guy Desk breakdown, our analysis, not Ross's official plays. Ross's documented plays are bet with real money and graded win or loss on the members board.
How does the Wise Guy Desk find value in NFL games?
Expected value first: the best price across the regulated US books we track versus the true fair price with the vig removed, then the matchup data (form, standings, injuries, key players). Line shopping for the best number is the edge most bettors leave on the table.
More for this game: NFL public betting splits · DraftKings betting splits