Cowboys vs Giants Prediction & Odds (Sep 13)

One Number on This Board Pays More Than the Market Itself Says

Five of the six prices in this game charge you a toll. One does not. That is the whole story of Cowboys vs Giants before a snap is played. Dallas is the favorite at -157, New York is the underdog at +152, and when you strip out the sportsbook's built-in cut, the market reads this as roughly 59.9% Dallas, 40.1% New York. The Giants' price pays slightly better than that read. Nothing else here does. Sunday night in East Rutherford, that is where a bettor starts.

The Matchup

This is Week 1 of the 2026 regular season, kickoff Sunday, September 13 at 8:20 PM ET from MetLife Stadium. Both the Dallas Cowboys and the New York Giants sit at 0-0 as of publication, because nobody has played yet. There is no season series, no form, no momentum. That matters more than it sounds. Giants vs Cowboys in an opener is a divisional game where the visiting side is favored by the smallest meaningful margin in football.

Players to Watch

The clearest name on the board is Giants receiver Malik Nabers, listed as Questionable. Questionable means exactly what it says: uncertain, and nobody should assign it a percentage. His status is the single biggest swing factor in how New York's passing game looks. For Dallas, offensive lineman Tyler Smith is on Injured Reserve, and protection quality in Week 1, against a divisional front, is how three-point games become seven-point games in either direction. Watch the trenches, not the highlight reel.

The Numbers

Moneyline means you are simply picking the winner. Dallas -157 (best price at BetRivers) means a $100 bet profits $63.69 when it wins and loses $100 when it does not. It needs to win 61.1% of the time just to break even. New York +152 (best at ProphetX) profits $152.00 on a $100 bet and needs 39.7% to break even. The point spread is a handicap on the margin. Dallas -3 at -105 (DraftKings) wins only if Dallas wins by 4 or more; a win by exactly 3 is a push, meaning your stake is returned; a 2-point win loses.

New York +3 at -105 (Hard Rock Bet) wins if the Giants win outright or lose by 2 or fewer, pushes on a 3-point loss, and loses on a 4-point loss. Both spread sides break even at 51.2%. The total is the combined points: Over 48 at -109 (BetRivers) or Under 48 at -108 (BetMGM), breaking even at 52.2% and 51.9%. Those best prices are scattered across four different books. That is why we shop.

Injuries

Six names are listed. New York has Malik Nabers (Questionable), Roy Robertson-Harris (Injured Reserve) and Korie Black (Injured Reserve). Dallas has Malik Davis, Tyler Smith and Devin Moore, all on Injured Reserve. That is five players on Injured Reserve across both sides and one genuine game-day question in Nabers.